Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud at 21–24 seats, a consistent decline from its 32 seats won in 2022. Multiple surveys from firms including Midgam, Kantar, Lazar, and Filber through mid-August show this trend holding amid the party's coalition bloc trailing opposition groupings. Contributing factors include sustained public focus on security outcomes since October 2023, coalition strains over draft policies for ultra-Orthodox parties, and internal Likud dynamics ahead of party primaries. These elements have sustained trader consensus on a high probability that Likud will finish with fewer mandates than its prior result, with limited recent polling movement toward recovery.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui88% peluang
$11,084 Vol.
$11,084 Vol.
Oct 27, 2026
88% peluang
$11,084 Vol.
$11,084 Vol.
Oct 27, 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud at 21–24 seats, a consistent decline from its 32 seats won in 2022. Multiple surveys from firms including Midgam, Kantar, Lazar, and Filber through mid-August show this trend holding amid the party's coalition bloc trailing opposition groupings. Contributing factors include sustained public focus on security outcomes since October 2023, coalition strains over draft policies for ultra-Orthodox parties, and internal Likud dynamics ahead of party primaries. These elements have sustained trader consensus on a high probability that Likud will finish with fewer mandates than its prior result, with limited recent polling movement toward recovery.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volume
$11,084Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud at 21–24 seats, a consistent decline from its 32 seats won in 2022. Multiple surveys from firms including Midgam, Kantar, Lazar, and Filber through mid-August show this trend holding amid the party's coalition bloc trailing opposition groupings. Contributing factors include sustained public focus on security outcomes since October 2023, coalition strains over draft policies for ultra-Orthodox parties, and internal Likud dynamics ahead of party primaries. These elements have sustained trader consensus on a high probability that Likud will finish with fewer mandates than its prior result, with limited recent polling movement toward recovery.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$11,084Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud at 21–24 seats, a consistent decline from its 32 seats won in 2022. Multiple surveys from firms including Midgam, Kantar, Lazar, and Filber through mid-August show this trend holding amid the party's coalition bloc trailing opposition groupings. Contributing factors include sustained public focus on security outcomes since October 2023, coalition strains over draft policies for ultra-Orthodox parties, and internal Likud dynamics ahead of party primaries. These elements have sustained trader consensus on a high probability that Likud will finish with fewer mandates than its prior result, with limited recent polling movement toward recovery.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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