Recent readings for Japan’s core CPI excluding fresh food have hovered near 1.8% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data at 1.8% in August, reflecting government energy subsidies that have offset oil-price spikes tied to Middle East tensions and a weaker yen. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects fiscal-2026 core inflation accelerating above 2% in the second half before moderating toward target, supported by wage pass-through and AI-driven demand but tempered by base effects and subsidy timing. With the annual 2026 figure still to incorporate these later pressures, trader-implied odds remain closely split between outcomes at or below 1.9% and the 2.0–2.4% band, highlighting uncertainty over the pace of underlying price momentum versus policy normalization at the September BOJ meeting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui≤1.9% 51.2%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2.5-2.9% 3.0%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,708 Vol.
$40,708 Vol.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
51%
2.0-2.4%
44%
2.5-2.9%
3%
3.0-3.4%
<1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1.9% 51.2%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2.5-2.9% 3.0%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,708 Vol.
$40,708 Vol.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
$19,311 Vol.
51%
2.0-2.4%
$11,384 Vol.
44%
2.5-2.9%
$5,548 Vol.
3%
3.0-3.4%
$1,661 Vol.
<1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,253 Vol.
<1%
4.0%+
$1,551 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent readings for Japan’s core CPI excluding fresh food have hovered near 1.8% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data at 1.8% in August, reflecting government energy subsidies that have offset oil-price spikes tied to Middle East tensions and a weaker yen. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects fiscal-2026 core inflation accelerating above 2% in the second half before moderating toward target, supported by wage pass-through and AI-driven demand but tempered by base effects and subsidy timing. With the annual 2026 figure still to incorporate these later pressures, trader-implied odds remain closely split between outcomes at or below 1.9% and the 2.0–2.4% band, highlighting uncertainty over the pace of underlying price momentum versus policy normalization at the September BOJ meeting.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$40,708Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 22, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent readings for Japan’s core CPI excluding fresh food have hovered near 1.8% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data at 1.8% in August, reflecting government energy subsidies that have offset oil-price spikes tied to Middle East tensions and a weaker yen. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects fiscal-2026 core inflation accelerating above 2% in the second half before moderating toward target, supported by wage pass-through and AI-driven demand but tempered by base effects and subsidy timing. With the annual 2026 figure still to incorporate these later pressures, trader-implied odds remain closely split between outcomes at or below 1.9% and the 2.0–2.4% band, highlighting uncertainty over the pace of underlying price momentum versus policy normalization at the September BOJ meeting.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volume
$40,708Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 22, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent readings for Japan’s core CPI excluding fresh food have hovered near 1.8% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data at 1.8% in August, reflecting government energy subsidies that have offset oil-price spikes tied to Middle East tensions and a weaker yen. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook projects fiscal-2026 core inflation accelerating above 2% in the second half before moderating toward target, supported by wage pass-through and AI-driven demand but tempered by base effects and subsidy timing. With the annual 2026 figure still to incorporate these later pressures, trader-implied odds remain closely split between outcomes at or below 1.9% and the 2.0–2.4% band, highlighting uncertainty over the pace of underlying price momentum versus policy normalization at the September BOJ meeting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan