Recent soft readings—core CPI at 1.6% YoY in June 2026, following 1.4% in May—have kept the measure below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for five straight months, supporting the near-even split between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets. Government energy subsidies have damped headline pressures while the “core-core” gauge (excluding fresh food and fuel) has held near 1.7-2.5%, reflecting sticky domestic demand and wage pass-through. A weaker yen and lingering commodity effects continue to pose upside risks, consistent with the BOJ’s fiscal-2026 outlook of underlying inflation gradually aligning with target. Traders are pricing in the next data releases and any further policy signals as the key swing factors before year-end resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui≤1.9% 49.0%
2.0-2.4% 47%
2.5-2.9% 1.4%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$37,290 Vol.
$37,290 Vol.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
49%
2.0-2.4%
47%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1.9% 49.0%
2.0-2.4% 47%
2.5-2.9% 1.4%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$37,290 Vol.
$37,290 Vol.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
$18,007 Vol.
49%
2.0-2.4%
$10,631 Vol.
47%
2.5-2.9%
$5,149 Vol.
1%
3.0-3.4%
$1,322 Vol.
1%
3.5-3.9%
$840 Vol.
<1%
4.0%+
$1,339 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent soft readings—core CPI at 1.6% YoY in June 2026, following 1.4% in May—have kept the measure below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for five straight months, supporting the near-even split between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets. Government energy subsidies have damped headline pressures while the “core-core” gauge (excluding fresh food and fuel) has held near 1.7-2.5%, reflecting sticky domestic demand and wage pass-through. A weaker yen and lingering commodity effects continue to pose upside risks, consistent with the BOJ’s fiscal-2026 outlook of underlying inflation gradually aligning with target. Traders are pricing in the next data releases and any further policy signals as the key swing factors before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$37,290Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 22, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent soft readings—core CPI at 1.6% YoY in June 2026, following 1.4% in May—have kept the measure below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for five straight months, supporting the near-even split between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets. Government energy subsidies have damped headline pressures while the “core-core” gauge (excluding fresh food and fuel) has held near 1.7-2.5%, reflecting sticky domestic demand and wage pass-through. A weaker yen and lingering commodity effects continue to pose upside risks, consistent with the BOJ’s fiscal-2026 outlook of underlying inflation gradually aligning with target. Traders are pricing in the next data releases and any further policy signals as the key swing factors before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volume
$37,290Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 22, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent soft readings—core CPI at 1.6% YoY in June 2026, following 1.4% in May—have kept the measure below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for five straight months, supporting the near-even split between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets. Government energy subsidies have damped headline pressures while the “core-core” gauge (excluding fresh food and fuel) has held near 1.7-2.5%, reflecting sticky domestic demand and wage pass-through. A weaker yen and lingering commodity effects continue to pose upside risks, consistent with the BOJ’s fiscal-2026 outlook of underlying inflation gradually aligning with target. Traders are pricing in the next data releases and any further policy signals as the key swing factors before year-end resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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