Recent readings of Japan’s core-core CPI, which strips out fresh food and energy, have hovered near 1.7-2.5% year-over-year through mid-2026, reflecting sticky domestic demand pressures amid a weak yen and elevated import costs. The Bank of Japan’s median forecast for fiscal 2026 stands at 2.2%, while government energy subsidies have weighed on headline figures, pulling them below the 2% target at times. Market-implied odds remain closely balanced between the 2.0-2.4% and ≤1.9% buckets because traders weigh persistent service and wage-driven inflation against potential further subsidy extensions or yen appreciation. Key upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release, BOJ policy communications, and any shifts in Middle East energy dynamics that could alter the inflation trajectory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 47%
2.5-2.9% 1.6%
4.0%+ 1.6%
$36,181 Vol.
$36,181 Vol.
≤1.9%
47%
2.0-2.4%
54%
2.5-2.9%
2%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
1%
4.0%+
2%
2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 47%
2.5-2.9% 1.6%
4.0%+ 1.6%
$36,181 Vol.
$36,181 Vol.
≤1.9%
47%
2.0-2.4%
54%
2.5-2.9%
2%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
1%
4.0%+
2%
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent readings of Japan’s core-core CPI, which strips out fresh food and energy, have hovered near 1.7-2.5% year-over-year through mid-2026, reflecting sticky domestic demand pressures amid a weak yen and elevated import costs. The Bank of Japan’s median forecast for fiscal 2026 stands at 2.2%, while government energy subsidies have weighed on headline figures, pulling them below the 2% target at times. Market-implied odds remain closely balanced between the 2.0-2.4% and ≤1.9% buckets because traders weigh persistent service and wage-driven inflation against potential further subsidy extensions or yen appreciation. Key upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release, BOJ policy communications, and any shifts in Middle East energy dynamics that could alter the inflation trajectory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan