Recent energy price surges stemming from the Middle East conflict have lifted euro-area headline inflation to 3.0% in April 2026, up from 2.6% in March, driving the 3.1%+ outcome to a 64.8% market-implied probability. Traders are pricing in persistent upward pressure from higher energy costs and potential second-round effects on wages and services, outweighing softer core readings near 2.2%. The ECB’s latest staff projections and SPF survey revised 2026 HICP expectations higher to 2.6–2.7%, reflecting the same shock, though downside risks from subdued GDP growth near 1.0% and euro appreciation remain. With the next Eurostat release due May 20, markets will watch whether inflation momentum eases or sustains above 3% through year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+ 60.9%
1.6–1.8% 23.3%
2.8-3.0% 20.9%
<1.0% 12.8%
$12,741 Vol.
$12,741 Vol.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
22%
1.0–1.2%
4%
1.3–1.5%
<1%
1.6–1.8%
23%
1.9–2.1%
2%
2.2–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.7%
11%
2.8-3.0%
21%
3.1%+
59%
3.1%+ 60.9%
1.6–1.8% 23.3%
2.8-3.0% 20.9%
<1.0% 12.8%
$12,741 Vol.
$12,741 Vol.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
$1,069 Vol.
22%
1.0–1.2%
$769 Vol.
4%
1.3–1.5%
$2,012 Vol.
<1%
1.6–1.8%
$1,112 Vol.
23%
1.9–2.1%
$2,821 Vol.
2%
2.2–2.4%
$1,021 Vol.
11%
2.5–2.7%
$1,139 Vol.
11%
2.8-3.0%
$635 Vol.
21%
3.1%+
$2,163 Vol.
59%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent energy price surges stemming from the Middle East conflict have lifted euro-area headline inflation to 3.0% in April 2026, up from 2.6% in March, driving the 3.1%+ outcome to a 64.8% market-implied probability. Traders are pricing in persistent upward pressure from higher energy costs and potential second-round effects on wages and services, outweighing softer core readings near 2.2%. The ECB’s latest staff projections and SPF survey revised 2026 HICP expectations higher to 2.6–2.7%, reflecting the same shock, though downside risks from subdued GDP growth near 1.0% and euro appreciation remain. With the next Eurostat release due May 20, markets will watch whether inflation momentum eases or sustains above 3% through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$12,741Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 19, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent energy price surges stemming from the Middle East conflict have lifted euro-area headline inflation to 3.0% in April 2026, up from 2.6% in March, driving the 3.1%+ outcome to a 64.8% market-implied probability. Traders are pricing in persistent upward pressure from higher energy costs and potential second-round effects on wages and services, outweighing softer core readings near 2.2%. The ECB’s latest staff projections and SPF survey revised 2026 HICP expectations higher to 2.6–2.7%, reflecting the same shock, though downside risks from subdued GDP growth near 1.0% and euro appreciation remain. With the next Eurostat release due May 20, markets will watch whether inflation momentum eases or sustains above 3% through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Volume
$12,741Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 19, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price surges stemming from the Middle East conflict have lifted euro-area headline inflation to 3.0% in April 2026, up from 2.6% in March, driving the 3.1%+ outcome to a 64.8% market-implied probability. Traders are pricing in persistent upward pressure from higher energy costs and potential second-round effects on wages and services, outweighing softer core readings near 2.2%. The ECB’s latest staff projections and SPF survey revised 2026 HICP expectations higher to 2.6–2.7%, reflecting the same shock, though downside risks from subdued GDP growth near 1.0% and euro appreciation remain. With the next Eurostat release due May 20, markets will watch whether inflation momentum eases or sustains above 3% through year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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