Germany's Q2 2026 GDP expanded just 0.2% quarter-over-quarter, slowing from the prior quarter's 0.4% and underscoring subdued household consumption alongside declining capital formation despite stronger exports. This tepid momentum, combined with persistent effects from prior energy shocks and structural challenges in manufacturing, supports the market's evenly distributed 50% implied probabilities across growth bins from negative to above 1.3%. Fiscal stimulus through elevated defense and infrastructure outlays provides a counterbalance, while inflation near 2.7-2.9% and global trade uncertainties weigh on the near-term outlook. Traders appear to price in a wide range of Q3 outcomes pending August-September data releases on industrial production, retail sales, and labor conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui≤0.0% 50%
0.1-0.3% 50%
0.4-0.6% 50%
0.7-0.9% 50%
BARU
BARU
Oct 30, 2026
≤0.0%
50%
0.1-0.3%
50%
0.4-0.6%
50%
0.7-0.9%
50%
1.0-1.2%
50%
1.3%+
50%
≤0.0% 50%
0.1-0.3% 50%
0.4-0.6% 50%
0.7-0.9% 50%
BARU
BARU
Oct 30, 2026
≤0.0%
$0 Vol.
50%
0.1-0.3%
$0 Vol.
50%
0.4-0.6%
$0 Vol.
50%
0.7-0.9%
$0 Vol.
50%
1.0-1.2%
$0 Vol.
50%
1.3%+
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany's Q2 2026 GDP expanded just 0.2% quarter-over-quarter, slowing from the prior quarter's 0.4% and underscoring subdued household consumption alongside declining capital formation despite stronger exports. This tepid momentum, combined with persistent effects from prior energy shocks and structural challenges in manufacturing, supports the market's evenly distributed 50% implied probabilities across growth bins from negative to above 1.3%. Fiscal stimulus through elevated defense and infrastructure outlays provides a counterbalance, while inflation near 2.7-2.9% and global trade uncertainties weigh on the near-term outlook. Traders appear to price in a wide range of Q3 outcomes pending August-September data releases on industrial production, retail sales, and labor conditions.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany's Q2 2026 GDP expanded just 0.2% quarter-over-quarter, slowing from the prior quarter's 0.4% and underscoring subdued household consumption alongside declining capital formation despite stronger exports. This tepid momentum, combined with persistent effects from prior energy shocks and structural challenges in manufacturing, supports the market's evenly distributed 50% implied probabilities across growth bins from negative to above 1.3%. Fiscal stimulus through elevated defense and infrastructure outlays provides a counterbalance, while inflation near 2.7-2.9% and global trade uncertainties weigh on the near-term outlook. Traders appear to price in a wide range of Q3 outcomes pending August-September data releases on industrial production, retail sales, and labor conditions.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Germany's Q2 2026 GDP expanded just 0.2% quarter-over-quarter, slowing from the prior quarter's 0.4% and underscoring subdued household consumption alongside declining capital formation despite stronger exports. This tepid momentum, combined with persistent effects from prior energy shocks and structural challenges in manufacturing, supports the market's evenly distributed 50% implied probabilities across growth bins from negative to above 1.3%. Fiscal stimulus through elevated defense and infrastructure outlays provides a counterbalance, while inflation near 2.7-2.9% and global trade uncertainties weigh on the near-term outlook. Traders appear to price in a wide range of Q3 outcomes pending August-September data releases on industrial production, retail sales, and labor conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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