Persistent inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, paired with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3% and solid job gains, have kept October rate expectations finely balanced. Recent CPI and PCE prints, along with geopolitical pressures on energy prices, have supported trader pricing for possible 25-basis-point moves in either direction at the October 27-28 FOMC meeting while also leaving room for no change. Incoming data on core inflation trends, payroll revisions, and any signals from the June projections or new leadership will determine whether probabilities separate toward tightening or easing scenarios.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFed Decision in October?
Fed Decision in October?
50+ bps increase 89%
No change 52%
50+ bps decrease 50%
25 bps increase 48%
BARU
BARU
Oct 28, 2026
50+ bps decrease
50%
25 bps decrease
46%
No change
52%
25 bps increase
48%
50+ bps increase
89%
50+ bps increase 89%
No change 52%
50+ bps decrease 50%
25 bps increase 48%
BARU
BARU
Oct 28, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$0 Vol.
50%
25 bps decrease
$0 Vol.
46%
No change
$0 Vol.
52%
25 bps increase
$0 Vol.
48%
50+ bps increase
$0 Vol.
89%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, paired with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3% and solid job gains, have kept October rate expectations finely balanced. Recent CPI and PCE prints, along with geopolitical pressures on energy prices, have supported trader pricing for possible 25-basis-point moves in either direction at the October 27-28 FOMC meeting while also leaving room for no change. Incoming data on core inflation trends, payroll revisions, and any signals from the June projections or new leadership will determine whether probabilities separate toward tightening or easing scenarios.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 17, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 17, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, paired with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3% and solid job gains, have kept October rate expectations finely balanced. Recent CPI and PCE prints, along with geopolitical pressures on energy prices, have supported trader pricing for possible 25-basis-point moves in either direction at the October 27-28 FOMC meeting while also leaving room for no change. Incoming data on core inflation trends, payroll revisions, and any signals from the June projections or new leadership will determine whether probabilities separate toward tightening or easing scenarios.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 17, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, paired with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3% and solid job gains, have kept October rate expectations finely balanced. Recent CPI and PCE prints, along with geopolitical pressures on energy prices, have supported trader pricing for possible 25-basis-point moves in either direction at the October 27-28 FOMC meeting while also leaving room for no change. Incoming data on core inflation trends, payroll revisions, and any signals from the June projections or new leadership will determine whether probabilities separate toward tightening or easing scenarios.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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