Recent inflation data, including the August CPI print showing a 0.4% monthly rise and 3.4% year-over-year headline rate alongside firmer core readings, have reinforced expectations for a September FOMC rate hike and sustained hawkish tilt into October. With the federal funds target at 3.50-3.75% and three dissents favoring tightening at the July meeting, traders see comparable odds for one to three October dissents because committee views remain split between those prioritizing price stability amid elevated PCE and oil-driven pressures versus those focused on labor market stability. The September decision and subsequent economic releases will likely clarify whether the hawkish bloc expands or contracts ahead of the October 27-28 meeting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
3 25%
2 22%
1 20%
4+ 18%
0
15%
1
20%
2
22%
3
25%
4+
18%
3 25%
2 22%
1 20%
4+ 18%
0
15%
1
20%
2
22%
3
25%
4+
18%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation data, including the August CPI print showing a 0.4% monthly rise and 3.4% year-over-year headline rate alongside firmer core readings, have reinforced expectations for a September FOMC rate hike and sustained hawkish tilt into October. With the federal funds target at 3.50-3.75% and three dissents favoring tightening at the July meeting, traders see comparable odds for one to three October dissents because committee views remain split between those prioritizing price stability amid elevated PCE and oil-driven pressures versus those focused on labor market stability. The September decision and subsequent economic releases will likely clarify whether the hawkish bloc expands or contracts ahead of the October 27-28 meeting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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