Recent July FOMC minutes and the 9-3 hawkish dissent (Hammack, Kashkari, Logan favoring a 25 bp hike) have entrenched divisions, with the committee split over whether elevated PCE inflation near 3.4-4.1% and energy-driven supply shocks warrant tightening from the 3.50-3.75% funds rate. Mixed August data—cooling CPI yet soft payrolls—have kept September hike odds near a coin flip, sustaining uncertainty over how many additional regional presidents or governors will break from Chair Warsh’s patient stance. Upcoming CPI, PCE, and employment releases through mid-September remain the key swing factors that could shift the dissent tally between two and four votes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
3 29%
4+ 20%
2 18%
0 16%
0
16%
1
16%
2
18%
3
29%
4+
20%
3 29%
4+ 20%
2 18%
0 16%
0
16%
1
16%
2
18%
3
29%
4+
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July FOMC minutes and the 9-3 hawkish dissent (Hammack, Kashkari, Logan favoring a 25 bp hike) have entrenched divisions, with the committee split over whether elevated PCE inflation near 3.4-4.1% and energy-driven supply shocks warrant tightening from the 3.50-3.75% funds rate. Mixed August data—cooling CPI yet soft payrolls—have kept September hike odds near a coin flip, sustaining uncertainty over how many additional regional presidents or governors will break from Chair Warsh’s patient stance. Upcoming CPI, PCE, and employment releases through mid-September remain the key swing factors that could shift the dissent tally between two and four votes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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