President Donald Trump’s repeated public threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors have become the dominant driver of trader sentiment on this market. Powell’s term as chair concluded on May 15, 2026, yet he retains a board seat until 2028; Trump stated on April 15 that he would fire Powell if the chair does not depart voluntarily, citing ongoing policy disagreements and a now-closed Justice Department probe into headquarters renovations. Markets price these statements as elevating the probability of a formal removal attempt, given the president’s stated preference for lower rates and recent pressure on other governors. Key upcoming catalysts include Senate confirmation hearings for a successor and any new Fed communications on monetary policy, both of which could shift implied probabilities depending on whether Powell remains in place.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$15,174 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
June 30
5%
December 31
18%
$15,174 Vol.
June 30
$8,050 Vol.
5%
December 31
$7,124 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump’s repeated public threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors have become the dominant driver of trader sentiment on this market. Powell’s term as chair concluded on May 15, 2026, yet he retains a board seat until 2028; Trump stated on April 15 that he would fire Powell if the chair does not depart voluntarily, citing ongoing policy disagreements and a now-closed Justice Department probe into headquarters renovations. Markets price these statements as elevating the probability of a formal removal attempt, given the president’s stated preference for lower rates and recent pressure on other governors. Key upcoming catalysts include Senate confirmation hearings for a successor and any new Fed communications on monetary policy, both of which could shift implied probabilities depending on whether Powell remains in place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$15,174Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump’s repeated public threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors have become the dominant driver of trader sentiment on this market. Powell’s term as chair concluded on May 15, 2026, yet he retains a board seat until 2028; Trump stated on April 15 that he would fire Powell if the chair does not depart voluntarily, citing ongoing policy disagreements and a now-closed Justice Department probe into headquarters renovations. Markets price these statements as elevating the probability of a formal removal attempt, given the president’s stated preference for lower rates and recent pressure on other governors. Key upcoming catalysts include Senate confirmation hearings for a successor and any new Fed communications on monetary policy, both of which could shift implied probabilities depending on whether Powell remains in place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,174Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s repeated public threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors have become the dominant driver of trader sentiment on this market. Powell’s term as chair concluded on May 15, 2026, yet he retains a board seat until 2028; Trump stated on April 15 that he would fire Powell if the chair does not depart voluntarily, citing ongoing policy disagreements and a now-closed Justice Department probe into headquarters renovations. Markets price these statements as elevating the probability of a formal removal attempt, given the president’s stated preference for lower rates and recent pressure on other governors. Key upcoming catalysts include Senate confirmation hearings for a successor and any new Fed communications on monetary policy, both of which could shift implied probabilities depending on whether Powell remains in place.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan