Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader expectations around the immediate mid-May window as the point of departure. Recent Senate confirmation of his successor, Kevin Warsh, and Powell’s April announcement that he will remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period after stepping down have reinforced the view that the chairmanship transition will occur promptly. The near-even split between the May 15–22 and May 23–29 brackets reflects lingering uncertainty over the precise effective date of the handover, possible short delays in administrative procedures, and the chair’s stated plan to maintain a low profile while the new leadership settles in. Any further official statements on transition logistics or board continuity could quickly shift probabilities within these tightly contested near-term outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 46.2%
May 23–29 36.9%
May 30–June 5 6.6%
June 6–12 2.3%
$165,945 Vol.
$165,945 Vol.
May 15–22
43%
May 23–29
46%
May 30–June 5
7%
June 6–12
2%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 46.2%
May 23–29 36.9%
May 30–June 5 6.6%
June 6–12 2.3%
$165,945 Vol.
$165,945 Vol.
May 15–22
43%
May 23–29
46%
May 30–June 5
7%
June 6–12
2%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader expectations around the immediate mid-May window as the point of departure. Recent Senate confirmation of his successor, Kevin Warsh, and Powell’s April announcement that he will remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period after stepping down have reinforced the view that the chairmanship transition will occur promptly. The near-even split between the May 15–22 and May 23–29 brackets reflects lingering uncertainty over the precise effective date of the handover, possible short delays in administrative procedures, and the chair’s stated plan to maintain a low profile while the new leadership settles in. Any further official statements on transition logistics or board continuity could quickly shift probabilities within these tightly contested near-term outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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