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icon for How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

icon for How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Oct 28

Dec 10

Jan 27, 2027

Oct 28

Dec 10

Jan 27, 2027

1 44.1%

0 28%

2 6.7%

3 5%

Polymarket

$17,413 Vol.

1 44.1%

0 28%

2 6.7%

3 5%

Polymarket

$17,413 Vol.

0

$8,318 Vol.

28%

1

$2,096 Vol.

44%

2

$1,030 Vol.

7%

3

$1,477 Vol.

10%

4+

$4,493 Vol.

1%

The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent inflation, with headline PCE near 3.7% and core measures above 3%, combined with the Federal Reserve’s unanimous September 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75–4.00% target range, has positioned the committee for notable division at the December 8–9 meeting. Under Chair Kevin Warsh, the hawkish tilt evident in prior 9–3 holds—where Cleveland, Minneapolis, and Dallas presidents dissented for tighter policy—has widened dispersion in the dot plot, with the median federal funds rate projection rising to 4.1% for year-end 2026. Traders price a 44% implied probability of exactly one dissent as the leading outcome, reflecting expectations that resilient labor data and incoming CPI releases could sustain hawkish pressure without full consensus, while acknowledging scenarios for unanimous or more fragmented votes remain plausible.

The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$17,413
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 10, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent inflation, with headline PCE near 3.7% and core measures above 3%, combined with the Federal Reserve’s unanimous September 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75–4.00% target range, has positioned the committee for notable division at the December 8–9 meeting. Under Chair Kevin Warsh, the hawkish tilt evident in prior 9–3 holds—where Cleveland, Minneapolis, and Dallas presidents dissented for tighter policy—has widened dispersion in the dot plot, with the median federal funds rate projection rising to 4.1% for year-end 2026. Traders price a 44% implied probability of exactly one dissent as the leading outcome, reflecting expectations that resilient labor data and incoming CPI releases could sustain hawkish pressure without full consensus, while acknowledging scenarios for unanimous or more fragmented votes remain plausible.

The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$17,413
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 10, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

icon for Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?

Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?

43%
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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

68%
icon for Apakah batas atas target suku bunga federal funds akan menjadi 4,25% pada akhir tahun 2026?

Apakah batas atas target suku bunga federal funds akan menjadi 4,25% pada akhir tahun 2026?

53%
Ya

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "1" di 44%, diikuti oleh "0" di 28%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 44¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 44% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?" telah menghasilkan $17.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 29, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?" adalah "1" di 44%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 44% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "0" di 28%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.