The closely contested 50.5% implied probability for a 2026 engagement reflects the couple’s stable, high-profile relationship since 2023 alongside the absence of any confirmed proposal or ring. Public appearances at MLB events, the All-Star red carpet, and award galas, plus mutual career support—Dunne’s shift to media and acting roles like the Baywatch reboot and Skenes’ strong Pirates season—underscore ongoing commitment, yet no official statements or milestone announcements have emerged as of mid-September. Long-distance schedules and privacy preferences keep momentum balanced, with traders watching for holiday-season developments, social media hints, or public comments that could quickly shift odds either way before year-end.