Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services like Yr.no indicate a daily minimum temperature in Chongqing near 20°C on October 2, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly to northeasterly winds under 3 m/s, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions follow a frontal passage, with dew points near 19°C and high humidity suppressing larger diurnal ranges typical of autumn in the Sichuan Basin. Trader sentiment remains split between the 25°C+ and sub-15°C bins because ensemble guidance shows modest uncertainty in exact overnight lows, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any clearing or rainfall intensification before dawn. Updated model runs from NOAA and CMA expected later today could refine the range around the 18–22°C cluster where several contracts cluster near 40–42% implied probability.