Traders see the lowest NYC temperature on July 29 clustered tightly around 68–73°F because short-range forecast models from NOAA and private ensembles converge on overnight lows in that range under typical mid-summer conditions. With the market date only hours away, recent model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing overnight, which control how much radiational cooling occurs after sunset. Historical July minima at Central Park and LaGuardia average near 70°F, providing a climatological anchor that keeps probabilities balanced across the 68–73°F bins rather than favoring extremes. No major synoptic shift or heat wave is expected to alter the pattern before resolution, so the narrow range of leading outcomes directly reflects the limited but non-zero variability still present in the final forecast updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on July 29?
Lowest temperature in NYC on July 29?
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$12,394 Vol.
$12,394 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$12,394 Vol.
$12,394 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
61°F or below
$309 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$337 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$792 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$954 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,475 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$3,580 Vol.
100%
72-73°F
$1,929 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,094 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,155 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$449 Vol.
<1%
80°F or higher
$319 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest NYC temperature on July 29 clustered tightly around 68–73°F because short-range forecast models from NOAA and private ensembles converge on overnight lows in that range under typical mid-summer conditions. With the market date only hours away, recent model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing overnight, which control how much radiational cooling occurs after sunset. Historical July minima at Central Park and LaGuardia average near 70°F, providing a climatological anchor that keeps probabilities balanced across the 68–73°F bins rather than favoring extremes. No major synoptic shift or heat wave is expected to alter the pattern before resolution, so the narrow range of leading outcomes directly reflects the limited but non-zero variability still present in the final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 27, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Volume
$12,394Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 27, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest NYC temperature on July 29 clustered tightly around 68–73°F because short-range forecast models from NOAA and private ensembles converge on overnight lows in that range under typical mid-summer conditions. With the market date only hours away, recent model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing overnight, which control how much radiational cooling occurs after sunset. Historical July minima at Central Park and LaGuardia average near 70°F, providing a climatological anchor that keeps probabilities balanced across the 68–73°F bins rather than favoring extremes. No major synoptic shift or heat wave is expected to alter the pattern before resolution, so the narrow range of leading outcomes directly reflects the limited but non-zero variability still present in the final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,394Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 27, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest NYC temperature on July 29 clustered tightly around 68–73°F because short-range forecast models from NOAA and private ensembles converge on overnight lows in that range under typical mid-summer conditions. With the market date only hours away, recent model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing overnight, which control how much radiational cooling occurs after sunset. Historical July minima at Central Park and LaGuardia average near 70°F, providing a climatological anchor that keeps probabilities balanced across the 68–73°F bins rather than favoring extremes. No major synoptic shift or heat wave is expected to alter the pattern before resolution, so the narrow range of leading outcomes directly reflects the limited but non-zero variability still present in the final forecast updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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