Traders are focusing on short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for Seoul’s overnight minimum on July 21, where tight clustering around 21–25°C reflects modest spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical July high-humidity conditions. Persistent subtropical high pressure favors gradual overnight radiative cooling, yet variable low-level cloud cover and weak frontal passages introduce uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Recent model runs show slight cooling signals that keep sub-20°C readings possible if skies clear more than expected, while stronger mixing could push values above 26°C. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs over the next 48 hours will clarify these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul on July 21?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 21?
23°C 41%
24°C 32%
25°C 11%
22°C 7%
BARU
$13,612 Vol.
BARU
$13,612 Vol.
Jul 21, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
41%
24°C
32%
25°C
11%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 41%
24°C 32%
25°C 11%
22°C 7%
BARU
$13,612 Vol.
BARU
$13,612 Vol.
Jul 21, 2026
19°C or below
$583 Vol.
1%
20°C
$644 Vol.
5%
21°C
$313 Vol.
4%
22°C
$313 Vol.
7%
23°C
$6,828 Vol.
41%
24°C
$2,011 Vol.
32%
25°C
$650 Vol.
11%
26°C
$418 Vol.
1%
27°C
$535 Vol.
1%
28°C
$579 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$736 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are focusing on short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for Seoul’s overnight minimum on July 21, where tight clustering around 21–25°C reflects modest spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical July high-humidity conditions. Persistent subtropical high pressure favors gradual overnight radiative cooling, yet variable low-level cloud cover and weak frontal passages introduce uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Recent model runs show slight cooling signals that keep sub-20°C readings possible if skies clear more than expected, while stronger mixing could push values above 26°C. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs over the next 48 hours will clarify these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$13,612Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are focusing on short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for Seoul’s overnight minimum on July 21, where tight clustering around 21–25°C reflects modest spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical July high-humidity conditions. Persistent subtropical high pressure favors gradual overnight radiative cooling, yet variable low-level cloud cover and weak frontal passages introduce uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Recent model runs show slight cooling signals that keep sub-20°C readings possible if skies clear more than expected, while stronger mixing could push values above 26°C. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs over the next 48 hours will clarify these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,612Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are focusing on short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for Seoul’s overnight minimum on July 21, where tight clustering around 21–25°C reflects modest spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical July high-humidity conditions. Persistent subtropical high pressure favors gradual overnight radiative cooling, yet variable low-level cloud cover and weak frontal passages introduce uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Recent model runs show slight cooling signals that keep sub-20°C readings possible if skies clear more than expected, while stronger mixing could push values above 26°C. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs over the next 48 hours will clarify these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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