Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on July 21 will likely reach 31–33°C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, with mostly sunny conditions favoring strong diurnal heating. Coastal sea breezes and residual monsoon moisture introduce key uncertainty, potentially capping the maximum below model consensus or allowing brief exceedances in urban areas. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C because recent runs show modest upward revisions from prior days amid stable atmospheric patterns, while the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours from KMA could further narrow outcomes ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Busan on July 21?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 21?
32°C 43%
31°C 29%
33°C 20%
30°C 3.9%
BARU
BARU
Jul 21, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
8%
31°C
29%
32°C
43%
33°C
20%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
31°C 29%
33°C 20%
30°C 3.9%
BARU
BARU
Jul 21, 2026
26°C or below
$93 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$306 Vol.
8%
31°C
$428 Vol.
29%
32°C
$6,039 Vol.
43%
33°C
$1,288 Vol.
20%
34°C
$531 Vol.
3%
35°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$207 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on July 21 will likely reach 31–33°C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, with mostly sunny conditions favoring strong diurnal heating. Coastal sea breezes and residual monsoon moisture introduce key uncertainty, potentially capping the maximum below model consensus or allowing brief exceedances in urban areas. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C because recent runs show modest upward revisions from prior days amid stable atmospheric patterns, while the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours from KMA could further narrow outcomes ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$9,512Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on July 21 will likely reach 31–33°C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, with mostly sunny conditions favoring strong diurnal heating. Coastal sea breezes and residual monsoon moisture introduce key uncertainty, potentially capping the maximum below model consensus or allowing brief exceedances in urban areas. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C because recent runs show modest upward revisions from prior days amid stable atmospheric patterns, while the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours from KMA could further narrow outcomes ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,512Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on July 21 will likely reach 31–33°C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, with mostly sunny conditions favoring strong diurnal heating. Coastal sea breezes and residual monsoon moisture introduce key uncertainty, potentially capping the maximum below model consensus or allowing brief exceedances in urban areas. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C because recent runs show modest upward revisions from prior days amid stable atmospheric patterns, while the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours from KMA could further narrow outcomes ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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