Recent forecasts for Shanghai show peak temperatures clustering around 32–34°C on July 21 amid typical mid-summer subtropical high pressure and high humidity. Model consensus remains tight but sensitive to small differences in afternoon cloud cover, localized thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. The slight edge for 33°C reflects the most recent ensemble runs favoring modest insolation under the western Pacific subtropical ridge, while equal weighting of 32°C and 34°C captures residual spread from urban heat-island amplification versus possible seabreeze cooling or brief showers. Updated NMC and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 21?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 21?
33°C 46%
34°C 27%
32°C 17%
35°C 10%
BARU
$62,451 Vol.
BARU
$62,451 Vol.
Jul 21, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
17%
33°C
46%
34°C
27%
35°C
10%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 46%
34°C 27%
32°C 17%
35°C 10%
BARU
$62,451 Vol.
BARU
$62,451 Vol.
Jul 21, 2026
28°C or below
$1,257 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9,846 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,163 Vol.
1%
31°C
$4,972 Vol.
4%
32°C
$5,664 Vol.
17%
33°C
$19,984 Vol.
46%
34°C
$3,501 Vol.
27%
35°C
$4,966 Vol.
10%
36°C
$3,774 Vol.
1%
37°C
$1,508 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,818 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai show peak temperatures clustering around 32–34°C on July 21 amid typical mid-summer subtropical high pressure and high humidity. Model consensus remains tight but sensitive to small differences in afternoon cloud cover, localized thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. The slight edge for 33°C reflects the most recent ensemble runs favoring modest insolation under the western Pacific subtropical ridge, while equal weighting of 32°C and 34°C captures residual spread from urban heat-island amplification versus possible seabreeze cooling or brief showers. Updated NMC and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$62,451Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai show peak temperatures clustering around 32–34°C on July 21 amid typical mid-summer subtropical high pressure and high humidity. Model consensus remains tight but sensitive to small differences in afternoon cloud cover, localized thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. The slight edge for 33°C reflects the most recent ensemble runs favoring modest insolation under the western Pacific subtropical ridge, while equal weighting of 32°C and 34°C captures residual spread from urban heat-island amplification versus possible seabreeze cooling or brief showers. Updated NMC and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$62,451Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai show peak temperatures clustering around 32–34°C on July 21 amid typical mid-summer subtropical high pressure and high humidity. Model consensus remains tight but sensitive to small differences in afternoon cloud cover, localized thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. The slight edge for 33°C reflects the most recent ensemble runs favoring modest insolation under the western Pacific subtropical ridge, while equal weighting of 32°C and 34°C captures residual spread from urban heat-island amplification versus possible seabreeze cooling or brief showers. Updated NMC and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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