Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's July 22 high in the 32–34 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer favor daytime heat buildup, while scattered monsoon showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders weigh official CMA guidance and ECMWF updates expected over the next 48 hours, which will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on July 22?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 22?
33°C 36%
34°C 27%
32°C 24%
31°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Jul 22, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
24%
33°C
36%
34°C
27%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 36%
34°C 27%
32°C 24%
31°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Jul 22, 2026
26°C or below
$389 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$271 Vol.
1%
30°C
$77 Vol.
2%
31°C
$372 Vol.
10%
32°C
$113 Vol.
24%
33°C
$54 Vol.
36%
34°C
$2,259 Vol.
27%
35°C
$585 Vol.
6%
36°C or higher
$70 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's July 22 high in the 32–34 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer favor daytime heat buildup, while scattered monsoon showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders weigh official CMA guidance and ECMWF updates expected over the next 48 hours, which will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$4,561Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's July 22 high in the 32–34 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer favor daytime heat buildup, while scattered monsoon showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders weigh official CMA guidance and ECMWF updates expected over the next 48 hours, which will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,561Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's July 22 high in the 32–34 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer favor daytime heat buildup, while scattered monsoon showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, keeping the distribution narrow. Traders weigh official CMA guidance and ECMWF updates expected over the next 48 hours, which will refine resolution criteria for the single highest recorded temperature.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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