The market-implied odds favor 72-73°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s July 20 high, reflecting trader consensus on a moderately suppressed marine layer that permits modest afternoon warming under persistent high pressure. The city’s characteristic summer temperature inversion—driven by cool Pacific waters and the California Current—typically caps highs near the 68°F July climatological mean, yet recent model runs show reduced onshore flow and a shallower layer depth allowing peaks in the low 70s. Stronger La Niña conditions this season have reinforced the marine layer overall, creating uncertainty around exact timing of any sea-breeze surge or fog clearance that could shift the high by a degree or two. National Weather Service updates through the evening of July 19 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on July 20?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 20?
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 27%
68-69°F 19%
66-67°F 9.3%
BARU
$31,063 Vol.
BARU
$31,063 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 27%
68-69°F 19%
66-67°F 9.3%
BARU
$31,063 Vol.
BARU
$31,063 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
63°F or below
$2,689 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$2,528 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$2,912 Vol.
9%
68-69°F
$2,746 Vol.
19%
70-71°F
$3,443 Vol.
39%
72-73°F
$7,197 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$2,712 Vol.
9%
76-77°F
$1,856 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$3,069 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$320 Vol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$1,591 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds favor 72-73°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s July 20 high, reflecting trader consensus on a moderately suppressed marine layer that permits modest afternoon warming under persistent high pressure. The city’s characteristic summer temperature inversion—driven by cool Pacific waters and the California Current—typically caps highs near the 68°F July climatological mean, yet recent model runs show reduced onshore flow and a shallower layer depth allowing peaks in the low 70s. Stronger La Niña conditions this season have reinforced the marine layer overall, creating uncertainty around exact timing of any sea-breeze surge or fog clearance that could shift the high by a degree or two. National Weather Service updates through the evening of July 19 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$31,063Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds favor 72-73°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s July 20 high, reflecting trader consensus on a moderately suppressed marine layer that permits modest afternoon warming under persistent high pressure. The city’s characteristic summer temperature inversion—driven by cool Pacific waters and the California Current—typically caps highs near the 68°F July climatological mean, yet recent model runs show reduced onshore flow and a shallower layer depth allowing peaks in the low 70s. Stronger La Niña conditions this season have reinforced the marine layer overall, creating uncertainty around exact timing of any sea-breeze surge or fog clearance that could shift the high by a degree or two. National Weather Service updates through the evening of July 19 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,063Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds favor 72-73°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s July 20 high, reflecting trader consensus on a moderately suppressed marine layer that permits modest afternoon warming under persistent high pressure. The city’s characteristic summer temperature inversion—driven by cool Pacific waters and the California Current—typically caps highs near the 68°F July climatological mean, yet recent model runs show reduced onshore flow and a shallower layer depth allowing peaks in the low 70s. Stronger La Niña conditions this season have reinforced the marine layer overall, creating uncertainty around exact timing of any sea-breeze surge or fog clearance that could shift the high by a degree or two. National Weather Service updates through the evening of July 19 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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