Recent model consensus from sources like GFS places Taipei's October 11 minimum near 23–24°C under persistent northeast monsoon flow, with easterly winds of 5–12 mph limiting radiative cooling overnight. Partly cloudy conditions and sea surface warmth near 27°C further moderate overnight lows, aligning with historical October averages of 21–22°C while current patterns trend slightly milder. Trader balance between 28°C+ and sub-18°C outcomes reflects model spread on cloud cover and any late frontal adjustments, with official Central Weather Bureau updates expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily low measurement window.
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