Typical August overnight lows in Tokyo hover near 24–25°C under the influence of a strengthened Pacific High driving above-normal seasonal temperatures. Current long-range guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with possible showers around August 2, which could modestly suppress the minimum through increased cloud cover or brief cooling, keeping the most likely range at 24–26°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity limit downward deviations, while model spread in steering patterns and local wind introduces the narrow probability bands traders have priced. Updated short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 2?
25°C 37%
26°C 30%
24°C 18%
27°C 14%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
12%
23°C
12%
24°C
18%
25°C
47%
26°C
30%
27°C
14%
28°C
13%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 37%
26°C 30%
24°C 18%
27°C 14%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
12%
23°C
12%
24°C
18%
25°C
47%
26°C
30%
27°C
14%
28°C
13%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Typical August overnight lows in Tokyo hover near 24–25°C under the influence of a strengthened Pacific High driving above-normal seasonal temperatures. Current long-range guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with possible showers around August 2, which could modestly suppress the minimum through increased cloud cover or brief cooling, keeping the most likely range at 24–26°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity limit downward deviations, while model spread in steering patterns and local wind introduces the narrow probability bands traders have priced. Updated short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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