Cisco Aguilar (D), the incumbent Nevada Secretary of State, holds an 86% implied probability in the November 3, 2026 general election due to his 2022 victory over the same Republican opponent by roughly two points and his uncontested Democratic primary. Jim Marchant (R) captured the GOP nomination in June with 32.6% of the primary vote despite minimal fundraising and limited establishment support, but his platform emphasizing voter roll resets, paper ballots only, and other election system changes has not translated into broad general-election momentum. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest Likely Democratic, while third-party candidates and the wide fundraising gap between the main contenders further reinforce trader consensus around Aguilar's position heading into the final weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNevada Secretary of State Election Winner
Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Cisco Aguilar (D)
86%
Jim Marchant (R)
8%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Cisco Aguilar (D)
$771 Vol.
86%
Jim Marchant (R)
$241 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Cisco Aguilar (D), the incumbent Nevada Secretary of State, holds an 86% implied probability in the November 3, 2026 general election due to his 2022 victory over the same Republican opponent by roughly two points and his uncontested Democratic primary. Jim Marchant (R) captured the GOP nomination in June with 32.6% of the primary vote despite minimal fundraising and limited establishment support, but his platform emphasizing voter roll resets, paper ballots only, and other election system changes has not translated into broad general-election momentum. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest Likely Democratic, while third-party candidates and the wide fundraising gap between the main contenders further reinforce trader consensus around Aguilar's position heading into the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Volume
$1,012Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Cisco Aguilar (D), the incumbent Nevada Secretary of State, holds an 86% implied probability in the November 3, 2026 general election due to his 2022 victory over the same Republican opponent by roughly two points and his uncontested Democratic primary. Jim Marchant (R) captured the GOP nomination in June with 32.6% of the primary vote despite minimal fundraising and limited establishment support, but his platform emphasizing voter roll resets, paper ballots only, and other election system changes has not translated into broad general-election momentum. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest Likely Democratic, while third-party candidates and the wide fundraising gap between the main contenders further reinforce trader consensus around Aguilar's position heading into the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$1,012Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cisco Aguilar (D), the incumbent Nevada Secretary of State, holds an 86% implied probability in the November 3, 2026 general election due to his 2022 victory over the same Republican opponent by roughly two points and his uncontested Democratic primary. Jim Marchant (R) captured the GOP nomination in June with 32.6% of the primary vote despite minimal fundraising and limited establishment support, but his platform emphasizing voter roll resets, paper ballots only, and other election system changes has not translated into broad general-election momentum. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest Likely Democratic, while third-party candidates and the wide fundraising gap between the main contenders further reinforce trader consensus around Aguilar's position heading into the final weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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