Traders assign an 81.5% probability to no new COVID variant of concern before 2027 because SARS-CoV-2 continues to circulate at low endemic levels with no signs of a strain meeting WHO criteria for elevated transmissibility, immune escape, or severity. Global genomic surveillance through mid-2026 shows ongoing Omicron sublineages such as BA.3.2 and XFG.1.1 spreading modestly in wastewater and clinical samples across the US and Europe, yet these remain classified only as variants under monitoring due to stable hospitalization trends and no surge exceeding prior seasonal baselines. Widespread population immunity from repeated vaccinations and infections further dampens the chance of rapid escalation in the remaining months of 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$238,975 Vol.
$238,975 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$238,975 Vol.
$238,975 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.Traders assign an 81.5% probability to no new COVID variant of concern before 2027 because SARS-CoV-2 continues to circulate at low endemic levels with no signs of a strain meeting WHO criteria for elevated transmissibility, immune escape, or severity. Global genomic surveillance through mid-2026 shows ongoing Omicron sublineages such as BA.3.2 and XFG.1.1 spreading modestly in wastewater and clinical samples across the US and Europe, yet these remain classified only as variants under monitoring due to stable hospitalization trends and no surge exceeding prior seasonal baselines. Widespread population immunity from repeated vaccinations and infections further dampens the chance of rapid escalation in the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ET
Volume
$238,975Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.Traders assign an 81.5% probability to no new COVID variant of concern before 2027 because SARS-CoV-2 continues to circulate at low endemic levels with no signs of a strain meeting WHO criteria for elevated transmissibility, immune escape, or severity. Global genomic surveillance through mid-2026 shows ongoing Omicron sublineages such as BA.3.2 and XFG.1.1 spreading modestly in wastewater and clinical samples across the US and Europe, yet these remain classified only as variants under monitoring due to stable hospitalization trends and no surge exceeding prior seasonal baselines. Widespread population immunity from repeated vaccinations and infections further dampens the chance of rapid escalation in the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
Volume
$238,975Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign an 81.5% probability to no new COVID variant of concern before 2027 because SARS-CoV-2 continues to circulate at low endemic levels with no signs of a strain meeting WHO criteria for elevated transmissibility, immune escape, or severity. Global genomic surveillance through mid-2026 shows ongoing Omicron sublineages such as BA.3.2 and XFG.1.1 spreading modestly in wastewater and clinical samples across the US and Europe, yet these remain classified only as variants under monitoring due to stable hospitalization trends and no surge exceeding prior seasonal baselines. Widespread population immunity from repeated vaccinations and infections further dampens the chance of rapid escalation in the remaining months of 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan