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Politik·Starmer

Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…?

icon for Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…?
Politik·Starmer

Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…?

BARU

$29,341 Vol.

Jul 19, 2026
Polymarket

$29,341 Vol.

Polymarket

July 19

$9,024 Vol.

73%

July 31

$8,299 Vol.

86%

September 30

$12,018 Vol.

97%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed, or Keir Starmer is re-appointed as Prime Minister without another intervening Prime Minister, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Keir Starmer announced his resignation as UK Prime Minister on June 22, 2026, after Labour’s heavy losses in the May local elections and growing internal party pressure. Andy Burnham’s decisive victory in the June 18 Makerfield by-election returned him to Parliament and positioned him as the clear frontrunner in the impending Labour leadership contest. Traders price Burnham highest because the governing party’s internal rules and parliamentary arithmetic favor a swift transition to a candidate who already holds a seat and commands broad support among MPs. The process, which begins with nominations around July 9 and aims to conclude before the September parliamentary session, will lead to the new leader being formally appointed by the King. Other potential contenders trail significantly, as none currently match Burnham’s near-term path to the premiership.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed, or Keir Starmer is re-appointed as Prime Minister without another intervening Prime Minister, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,341
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 22, 2026, 10:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed, or Keir Starmer is re-appointed as Prime Minister without another intervening Prime Minister, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed, or Keir Starmer is re-appointed as Prime Minister without another intervening Prime Minister, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Keir Starmer announced his resignation as UK Prime Minister on June 22, 2026, after Labour’s heavy losses in the May local elections and growing internal party pressure. Andy Burnham’s decisive victory in the June 18 Makerfield by-election returned him to Parliament and positioned him as the clear frontrunner in the impending Labour leadership contest. Traders price Burnham highest because the governing party’s internal rules and parliamentary arithmetic favor a swift transition to a candidate who already holds a seat and commands broad support among MPs. The process, which begins with nominations around July 9 and aims to conclude before the September parliamentary session, will lead to the new leader being formally appointed by the King. Other potential contenders trail significantly, as none currently match Burnham’s near-term path to the premiership.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed, or Keir Starmer is re-appointed as Prime Minister without another intervening Prime Minister, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,341
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 22, 2026, 10:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed, or Keir Starmer is re-appointed as Prime Minister without another intervening Prime Minister, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "September 30" di 97%, diikuti oleh "July 31" di 86%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 97¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 97% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…?" telah menghasilkan $29.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 22, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…?," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…?" adalah "September 30" di 97%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 97% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "July 31" di 86%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.