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Politik·UK

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

icon for Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?
Politik·UK

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

$65,442 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$65,442 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$20,874 Vol.

68%

May 31

$100 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a leadership election for the UK-wide Leader of the Labour Party is scheduled by the specified date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for any Labour Party leadership election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Labour Party, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Pressure on UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has intensified after Labour's poor performance in the May 2026 local elections, prompting four ministers to resign and over 80 Labour MPs to demand his departure—exceeding the 20% threshold needed under party rules to trigger a leadership contest via challenger nominations. Starmer remains defiant, holding meetings with MPs and cabinet amid speculation of a bid from Health Secretary Wes Streeting, but no formal election schedule has been set. Traders weigh the risk of rapid escalation from ongoing rebellions, with key upcoming MP gatherings and potential no-confidence moves that could force nominations and timetable an election soon.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a leadership election for the UK-wide Leader of the Labour Party is scheduled by the specified date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for any Labour Party leadership election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Labour Party, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$65,442
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 24, 2025, 4:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a leadership election for the UK-wide Leader of the Labour Party is scheduled by the specified date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for any Labour Party leadership election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Labour Party, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a leadership election for the UK-wide Leader of the Labour Party is scheduled by the specified date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for any Labour Party leadership election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Labour Party, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Pressure on UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has intensified after Labour's poor performance in the May 2026 local elections, prompting four ministers to resign and over 80 Labour MPs to demand his departure—exceeding the 20% threshold needed under party rules to trigger a leadership contest via challenger nominations. Starmer remains defiant, holding meetings with MPs and cabinet amid speculation of a bid from Health Secretary Wes Streeting, but no formal election schedule has been set. Traders weigh the risk of rapid escalation from ongoing rebellions, with key upcoming MP gatherings and potential no-confidence moves that could force nominations and timetable an election soon.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a leadership election for the UK-wide Leader of the Labour Party is scheduled by the specified date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for any Labour Party leadership election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Labour Party, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$65,442
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 24, 2025, 4:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a leadership election for the UK-wide Leader of the Labour Party is scheduled by the specified date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for any Labour Party leadership election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Labour Party, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "June 30" di 68%, diikuti oleh "May 31" di 42%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 68¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 68% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?" telah menghasilkan $65.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 24, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?" adalah "June 30" di 68%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 68% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "May 31" di 42%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.