Recent poor performance by Labour in the May 2026 local elections has triggered a backbench revolt against Prime Minister Keir Starmer, with multiple cabinet resignations and MP calls for his departure heightening speculation of a leadership contest before the end of the year. Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham leads trader consensus as the frontrunner due to his strong public profile, devolution record, and cleared path to a by-election seat in Makerfield that would enable a parliamentary return. Wes Streetingβs resignation as health secretary and Angela Raynerβs positioning add to the field of potential challengers, while the notable share assigned to no leadership change reflects Starmerβs public defiance and the procedural barriers to forcing an immediate vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· DiperbaruiAndy BurnhamΒ 45.4%
Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026Β 27%
Angela RaynerΒ 10%
Wes StreetingΒ 6%
$7,038,394 Vol.
$7,038,394 Vol.
Andy Burnham
45%
Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026
27%
Angela Rayner
10%
Wes Streeting
6%
Ed Miliband
5%
Al Carns
2%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Nigel Farage
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
David Lammy
<1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
John Healey
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
Andy BurnhamΒ 45.4%
Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026Β 27%
Angela RaynerΒ 10%
Wes StreetingΒ 6%
$7,038,394 Vol.
$7,038,394 Vol.
Andy Burnham
45%
Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026
27%
Angela Rayner
10%
Wes Streeting
6%
Ed Miliband
5%
Al Carns
2%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Nigel Farage
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
David Lammy
<1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
John Healey
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to βNo Next PM in 2026β.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to βNo Next PM in 2026β.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent poor performance by Labour in the May 2026 local elections has triggered a backbench revolt against Prime Minister Keir Starmer, with multiple cabinet resignations and MP calls for his departure heightening speculation of a leadership contest before the end of the year. Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham leads trader consensus as the frontrunner due to his strong public profile, devolution record, and cleared path to a by-election seat in Makerfield that would enable a parliamentary return. Wes Streetingβs resignation as health secretary and Angela Raynerβs positioning add to the field of potential challengers, while the notable share assigned to no leadership change reflects Starmerβs public defiance and the procedural barriers to forcing an immediate vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· Diperbarui
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