North Korea conducted its most recent missile launches, including close-range ballistic missiles and tactical cruise systems from a new lightweight launcher, on May 26, with no verified tests reported in the first ten days of June. This spacing aligns with patterns of intermittent activity earlier in 2026, when Pyongyang completed eight tests by late May focused on artillery modernization and penetration capabilities. Traders price <1 test highest because the early-month lull and absence of immediate diplomatic or military triggers reduce near-term incentives, while the modest probability on 1-2 tests reflects the possibility of routine follow-up launches before month-end. The low odds on 3+ tests reflect the historical rarity of sustained high-volume activity within a single calendar month absent major escalations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in June 2026?
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in June 2026?
<1 65%
1-2 32%
3+ 5.0%
BARU
BARU
Jun 30, 2026
<1
60%
1-2
38%
3+
5%
<1 65%
1-2 32%
3+ 5.0%
BARU
BARU
Jun 30, 2026
<1
$1,618 Vol.
60%
1-2
$193 Vol.
38%
3+
$243 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during June 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea conducted its most recent missile launches, including close-range ballistic missiles and tactical cruise systems from a new lightweight launcher, on May 26, with no verified tests reported in the first ten days of June. This spacing aligns with patterns of intermittent activity earlier in 2026, when Pyongyang completed eight tests by late May focused on artillery modernization and penetration capabilities. Traders price <1 test highest because the early-month lull and absence of immediate diplomatic or military triggers reduce near-term incentives, while the modest probability on 1-2 tests reflects the possibility of routine follow-up launches before month-end. The low odds on 3+ tests reflect the historical rarity of sustained high-volume activity within a single calendar month absent major escalations.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during June 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Pasar Dibuka: May 26, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
Volume
$2,053Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 26, 2026, 6:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during June 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea conducted its most recent missile launches, including close-range ballistic missiles and tactical cruise systems from a new lightweight launcher, on May 26, with no verified tests reported in the first ten days of June. This spacing aligns with patterns of intermittent activity earlier in 2026, when Pyongyang completed eight tests by late May focused on artillery modernization and penetration capabilities. Traders price <1 test highest because the early-month lull and absence of immediate diplomatic or military triggers reduce near-term incentives, while the modest probability on 1-2 tests reflects the possibility of routine follow-up launches before month-end. The low odds on 3+ tests reflect the historical rarity of sustained high-volume activity within a single calendar month absent major escalations.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during June 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$2,053Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 26, 2026, 6:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea conducted its most recent missile launches, including close-range ballistic missiles and tactical cruise systems from a new lightweight launcher, on May 26, with no verified tests reported in the first ten days of June. This spacing aligns with patterns of intermittent activity earlier in 2026, when Pyongyang completed eight tests by late May focused on artillery modernization and penetration capabilities. Traders price <1 test highest because the early-month lull and absence of immediate diplomatic or military triggers reduce near-term incentives, while the modest probability on 1-2 tests reflects the possibility of routine follow-up launches before month-end. The low odds on 3+ tests reflect the historical rarity of sustained high-volume activity within a single calendar month absent major escalations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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