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Politik·California

Oakland Mayoral Election

icon for Oakland Mayoral Election
Politik·California

Oakland Mayoral Election

Polymarket
BARU
Polymarket
BARU

Barbara Lee

$1,148 Vol.

88%

Brenda Grisham

$126 Vol.

7%

The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.Barbara Lee holds a commanding position in the November 2026 Oakland mayoral race as the incumbent who won the 2025 special election, bolstered by her June 2026 campaign launch, endorsements from state and federal officials, and efforts to advance charter reforms like a strong-mayor proposal. Traders price her at 87.5% amid limited name recognition and fundraising among declared challengers, including community advocate Brenda Grisham at 7%. Multiple other candidates sit near even money in a nonpartisan field where vote splitting and ranked-choice voting could influence outcomes. No major late-breaking shifts have altered the consensus in recent weeks, though turnout patterns and any new entrants before filing deadlines remain potential variables.

The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.
Volume
$1,274
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 27, 2026, 9:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.
The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.Barbara Lee holds a commanding position in the November 2026 Oakland mayoral race as the incumbent who won the 2025 special election, bolstered by her June 2026 campaign launch, endorsements from state and federal officials, and efforts to advance charter reforms like a strong-mayor proposal. Traders price her at 87.5% amid limited name recognition and fundraising among declared challengers, including community advocate Brenda Grisham at 7%. Multiple other candidates sit near even money in a nonpartisan field where vote splitting and ranked-choice voting could influence outcomes. No major late-breaking shifts have altered the consensus in recent weeks, though turnout patterns and any new entrants before filing deadlines remain potential variables.

The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.
Volume
$1,274
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 27, 2026, 9:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Oakland Mayoral Election" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Barbara Lee" di 88%, diikuti oleh "Brenda Grisham" di 7%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 88¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 88% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Oakland Mayoral Election" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jul 27, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Oakland Mayoral Election," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Oakland Mayoral Election" adalah "Barbara Lee" di 88%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 88% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Brenda Grisham" di 7%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Oakland Mayoral Election" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.