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icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

1% peluang
Polymarket

$11,994 Vol.

1% peluang
Polymarket

$11,994 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth remains firmly entrenched as secretary of war, with President Trump publicly affirming confidence in his leadership amid the ongoing Iran conflict and Pentagon restructuring. Recent events, including Hegseth’s September 18 speech on defense innovation and a Texas visit administering enlistments, underscore his active role with no announced departure or Senate action. A narrow September 15 impeachment resolution from Rep. Thomas Massie over war powers has drawn minimal support and faces procedural barriers before recess. Internal turmoil, such as the late-August resignation of Army Secretary Dan Driscoll and firings of senior officers, has prompted leadership gaps but not White House moves against Hegseth. With only days until September 30, the compressed timeline and absence of confirmation hearings or scandals limit realistic exit paths, though late-breaking developments like health events or sudden congressional pressure could still intervene before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,994
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 9:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth remains firmly entrenched as secretary of war, with President Trump publicly affirming confidence in his leadership amid the ongoing Iran conflict and Pentagon restructuring. Recent events, including Hegseth’s September 18 speech on defense innovation and a Texas visit administering enlistments, underscore his active role with no announced departure or Senate action. A narrow September 15 impeachment resolution from Rep. Thomas Massie over war powers has drawn minimal support and faces procedural barriers before recess. Internal turmoil, such as the late-August resignation of Army Secretary Dan Driscoll and firings of senior officers, has prompted leadership gaps but not White House moves against Hegseth. With only days until September 30, the compressed timeline and absence of confirmation hearings or scandals limit realistic exit paths, though late-breaking developments like health events or sudden congressional pressure could still intervene before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,994
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 9:29 AM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 1% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 1¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 1% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?" telah menghasilkan $12K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Sep 3, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?" adalah 1% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 1% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.