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Pemilihan Umum·Senat Utama

South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner

icon for South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Senat Utama

South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner

Mike Rounds 95.4%

Justin McNeal 4.4%

Kristi Noem <1%

Polymarket

$25,598 Vol.

Mike Rounds 95.4%

Justin McNeal 4.4%

Kristi Noem <1%

Polymarket

$25,598 Vol.

Mike Rounds

$6,237 Vol.

95%

Justin McNeal

$16,485 Vol.

4%

Kristi Noem

$2,875 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Rounds maintains a commanding lead in the South Dakota Republican Senate primary due to his long-standing role in state politics, including prior service as governor, and consistent voter support reflected in recent polling. The June 2 primary features a limited field, with Navy veteran and businessman Justin McNeal positioning himself as an outsider challenger but drawing limited traction among Republican primary voters. Former Governor Kristi Noem, whose name appears in outdated hypothetical matchups, has shown no active campaign movement that would alter the current trader consensus. This positioning aligns with historical patterns favoring established incumbents in low-profile state primaries absent major scandals or high-profile interventions. Late developments such as unexpected endorsements or shifts in turnout could theoretically narrow the gap before ballots close, though structural advantages for the sitting senator remain the dominant factor.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.

If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$25,598
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Rounds maintains a commanding lead in the South Dakota Republican Senate primary due to his long-standing role in state politics, including prior service as governor, and consistent voter support reflected in recent polling. The June 2 primary features a limited field, with Navy veteran and businessman Justin McNeal positioning himself as an outsider challenger but drawing limited traction among Republican primary voters. Former Governor Kristi Noem, whose name appears in outdated hypothetical matchups, has shown no active campaign movement that would alter the current trader consensus. This positioning aligns with historical patterns favoring established incumbents in low-profile state primaries absent major scandals or high-profile interventions. Late developments such as unexpected endorsements or shifts in turnout could theoretically narrow the gap before ballots close, though structural advantages for the sitting senator remain the dominant factor.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.

If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$25,598
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Mike Rounds" di 95%, diikuti oleh "Justin McNeal" di 4%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 95¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 95% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $25.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 25, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner" adalah "Mike Rounds" di 95%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 95% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Justin McNeal" di 4%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.