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Pemilihan Umum·Primer

Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Primer

Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner

$29,472 Vol.

Polymarket

$29,472 Vol.

Mark Warner

$14,690 Vol.

99%

Jason Reynolds

$14,783 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the Virginia Democratic Senate primary market at 99.3% implied probability, reflecting his status as the sole qualified candidate on the August 4, 2026 ballot after submitting over 18,000 voter signatures in March and no other contenders meeting ballot access requirements by early April. As a three-term senator with strong fundraising and incumbency advantages—where Democratic incumbents historically win primaries over 95% of the time—traders see minimal competition from longshot Jason Reynolds, who announced a progressive challenge but failed to qualify. No new challengers have emerged in the past 30 days, solidifying trader consensus. Scenarios like a late qualified entrant, Warner withdrawal due to health issues, or major scandal could shift odds, though such disruptions remain highly unlikely absent breaking developments.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.

If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$29,472
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 2, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the Virginia Democratic Senate primary market at 99.3% implied probability, reflecting his status as the sole qualified candidate on the August 4, 2026 ballot after submitting over 18,000 voter signatures in March and no other contenders meeting ballot access requirements by early April. As a three-term senator with strong fundraising and incumbency advantages—where Democratic incumbents historically win primaries over 95% of the time—traders see minimal competition from longshot Jason Reynolds, who announced a progressive challenge but failed to qualify. No new challengers have emerged in the past 30 days, solidifying trader consensus. Scenarios like a late qualified entrant, Warner withdrawal due to health issues, or major scandal could shift odds, though such disruptions remain highly unlikely absent breaking developments.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.

If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$29,472
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 2, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Mark Warner" di 99%, diikuti oleh "Jason Reynolds" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 99¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 99% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $29.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 2, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner" adalah "Mark Warner" di 99%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 99% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jason Reynolds" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.