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Politik·Primer

Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner

$18,361 Vol.

Polymarket

$18,361 Vol.

Jeff Merkley

$11,919 Vol.

99%

Jacob Ryan

$6,442 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Jeff Merkley commands 99.4% trader consensus to win Oregon's Democratic Senate primary on May 19, reflecting his entrenched incumbency since 2008, comfortable 2020 re-election with 57% of the vote, and overwhelming party establishment support in a reliably Democratic state. Minimal opposition from low-profile challenger Jacob Ryan, who lacks polling, fundraising, or endorsements, has failed to generate traction amid ballots mailed April 29 and no recent developments like scandals or voter shifts. Historical precedents show Senate incumbents winning primaries over 95% of the time, cementing Merkley's position. An upset would require unprecedented late-breaking scandal, health issue, or disqualification in the final days.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$18,361
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Jeff Merkley commands 99.4% trader consensus to win Oregon's Democratic Senate primary on May 19, reflecting his entrenched incumbency since 2008, comfortable 2020 re-election with 57% of the vote, and overwhelming party establishment support in a reliably Democratic state. Minimal opposition from low-profile challenger Jacob Ryan, who lacks polling, fundraising, or endorsements, has failed to generate traction amid ballots mailed April 29 and no recent developments like scandals or voter shifts. Historical precedents show Senate incumbents winning primaries over 95% of the time, cementing Merkley's position. An upset would require unprecedented late-breaking scandal, health issue, or disqualification in the final days.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$18,361
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jeff Merkley" di 99%, diikuti oleh "Jacob Ryan" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 99¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 99% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $18.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 26, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner" adalah "Jeff Merkley" di 99%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 99% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jacob Ryan" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.