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Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Reilly Neill 94%

Alani Bankhead 2.9%

Michael BlackWolf 2.8%

Kathleen McLaughlin <1%

Polymarket
BARU

Reilly Neill 94%

Alani Bankhead 2.9%

Michael BlackWolf 2.8%

Kathleen McLaughlin <1%

Polymarket
BARU

Reilly Neill

$5,268 Vol.

94%

Alani Bankhead

$1,287 Vol.

3%

Michael BlackWolf

$306 Vol.

3%

Kathleen McLaughlin

$199 Vol.

<1%

Michael Hummert

$2,221 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Reilly Neill commands 93.5% trader consensus in the Montana Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by her profile as former state representative with legislative experience and grassroots organizing in a crowded five-candidate field against lesser-known challengers like Alani Bankhead and Michael BlackWolf. A GOP super PAC mailer on May 9 highlighted her Trump opposition as "too liberal," signaling Republican preference for her as the nominee in the open seat race vacated by Steve Daines in March—reinforcing her frontrunner status amid underfunded Democrats overall. Absent public polls, her sustained momentum persists; realistic challenges include a late endorsement or funding surge for rivals, primary debate fallout, or backlash to outside interference before absentee ballot deadlines.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.

If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$9,281
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Reilly Neill commands 93.5% trader consensus in the Montana Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by her profile as former state representative with legislative experience and grassroots organizing in a crowded five-candidate field against lesser-known challengers like Alani Bankhead and Michael BlackWolf. A GOP super PAC mailer on May 9 highlighted her Trump opposition as "too liberal," signaling Republican preference for her as the nominee in the open seat race vacated by Steve Daines in March—reinforcing her frontrunner status amid underfunded Democrats overall. Absent public polls, her sustained momentum persists; realistic challenges include a late endorsement or funding surge for rivals, primary debate fallout, or backlash to outside interference before absentee ballot deadlines.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.

If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$9,281
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Reilly Neill" di 94%, diikuti oleh "Alani Bankhead" di 3%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 94¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 94% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Dec 3, 2025. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner" adalah "Reilly Neill" di 94%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 94% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Alani Bankhead" di 3%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.