Recent V3 Starship flights, including Flight 13’s intact heat shield performance, successful in-space Raptor relight, and Starlink V3 deployment, have reinforced trader confidence that both stages can achieve tower catches and rapid reuse well before 2028. Multiple prior Super Heavy booster recoveries via Mechazilla arms, combined with Elon Musk’s August 2026 statements targeting a ship catch attempt on Flight 14 and first upper-stage reflight by late 2026 or early 2027, anchor the 76% implied probability. Orbital refueling demonstrations and the V3’s Raptor 3 engines plus redesigned thermal protection further support operational full reusability timelines, though upper-stage reentry reliability and heat-shield inspection remain key swing factors ahead of resolution.