Recent reports indicate that Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito, the court's oldest members at ages 77 and 76, have signaled through sources that they intend to remain on the bench at least through 2026 and are hiring clerks for the upcoming term. These statements have cooled earlier speculation tied to President Trump's shortlist of potential nominees and Republican Senate control before the midterms. No other justices have announced retirement plans or shown public health-related signals that would trigger a vacancy. Traders assign the "No" outcome a 67% implied probability, viewing the absence of confirmed departures or procedural timelines as the dominant factor shaping current odds.