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Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

icon for Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

97% peluang
Polymarket

$228,621 Vol.

97% peluang
Polymarket

$228,621 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The 2026 midterm elections remain scheduled for November 3 under longstanding federal statute, with state officials actively conducting primaries and preparations across the country as of mid-June 2026.** Federal law fixes the date for House and Senate contests every even-numbered year, and no congressional action or executive measure has altered this timeline. Earlier 2026 comments by President Trump about potential cancellation drew attention but were characterized by White House officials as facetious, with legal analyses and state election administrators confirming that neither the presidency nor any federal body possesses unilateral authority to postpone or cancel the contests. Ongoing primary activity, including recent Georgia and other state votes, along with published election calendars through fall 2026, reinforces the expectation that the process will proceed without interruption. Trader consensus at 94.6% for “Yes” reflects this structural and procedural certainty, tempered only by the inherent possibility of unforeseen legal or logistical challenges in any national election cycle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$228,621
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 15, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The 2026 midterm elections remain scheduled for November 3 under longstanding federal statute, with state officials actively conducting primaries and preparations across the country as of mid-June 2026.** Federal law fixes the date for House and Senate contests every even-numbered year, and no congressional action or executive measure has altered this timeline. Earlier 2026 comments by President Trump about potential cancellation drew attention but were characterized by White House officials as facetious, with legal analyses and state election administrators confirming that neither the presidency nor any federal body possesses unilateral authority to postpone or cancel the contests. Ongoing primary activity, including recent Georgia and other state votes, along with published election calendars through fall 2026, reinforces the expectation that the process will proceed without interruption. Trader consensus at 94.6% for “Yes” reflects this structural and procedural certainty, tempered only by the inherent possibility of unforeseen legal or logistical challenges in any national election cycle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$228,621
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 15, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 97% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 97¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 97% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?" telah menghasilkan $228.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 15, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?" adalah 97% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 97% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.