Skip to main content
icon for Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

icon for Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

92% peluang
Polymarket

$166,598 Vol.

92% peluang
Polymarket

$166,598 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The absence of any proposed constitutional amendments, emergency legislation, or executive actions to alter the federal election calendar underpins the strong trader consensus that the 2026 midterm elections will occur on schedule. No recent congressional votes, court rulings, or White House announcements have introduced delays, consistent with the historical pattern where midterms have proceeded uninterrupted every two years regardless of external pressures. With primary contests already underway in several states and no scheduled procedural hurdles through November, the outcome hinges on the absence of unforeseen institutional interventions that could shift the timeline before Election Day.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$166,598
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 15, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The absence of any proposed constitutional amendments, emergency legislation, or executive actions to alter the federal election calendar underpins the strong trader consensus that the 2026 midterm elections will occur on schedule. No recent congressional votes, court rulings, or White House announcements have introduced delays, consistent with the historical pattern where midterms have proceeded uninterrupted every two years regardless of external pressures. With primary contests already underway in several states and no scheduled procedural hurdles through November, the outcome hinges on the absence of unforeseen institutional interventions that could shift the timeline before Election Day.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$166,598
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 15, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 92% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 92¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 92% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?" telah menghasilkan $166.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 15, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?" adalah 92% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 92% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.