**New York’s July 2026 executive order imposing the first statewide pause on hyperscale data centers (50 MW+) created the key precedent, while explosive growth in local moratoriums—dozens enacted in 2026 across dozens of states—signals accelerating resistance to AI-driven power and water demands.** Trader consensus at 68.9% implied probability for a “Yes” resolution by year-end rests on bipartisan legislative momentum in states such as Michigan, Oregon, and New Mexico, where bills remain pending or could advance in remaining 2026 sessions. Recent actions like Texas’s grid-connection audit and similar regulatory tightening elsewhere further illustrate tightening scrutiny. Although some prior proposals faced vetoes and not every legislature will act before December 31, the volume of local precedents and sustained concerns over grid strain and utility costs support the current market-implied odds for at least one additional state-level legislative moratorium.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**New York’s July 2026 executive order imposing the first statewide pause on hyperscale data centers (50 MW+) created the key precedent, while explosive growth in local moratoriums—dozens enacted in 2026 across dozens of states—signals accelerating resistance to AI-driven power and water demands.** Trader consensus at 68.9% implied probability for a “Yes” resolution by year-end rests on bipartisan legislative momentum in states such as Michigan, Oregon, and New Mexico, where bills remain pending or could advance in remaining 2026 sessions. Recent actions like Texas’s grid-connection audit and similar regulatory tightening elsewhere further illustrate tightening scrutiny. Although some prior proposals faced vetoes and not every legislature will act before December 31, the volume of local precedents and sustained concerns over grid strain and utility costs support the current market-implied odds for at least one additional state-level legislative moratorium.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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