Anthropic’s recent September 2026 launches of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 have driven the highest reported HLE scores, reaching 59–65% depending on tool use and evaluation protocol, ahead of prior Opus 5 and competing models from OpenAI and Google. These releases build on iterative gains in reasoning depth and knowledge integration across the 2,500-question expert benchmark, where Anthropic variants have held the top spots for months due to targeted advances in math, science, and multi-domain problem-solving. Traders see limited near-term disruption from rivals, though additional Claude updates or benchmark protocol shifts before year-end could still alter the final peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$111,004 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
55%+
86%
60%+
34%
65%+
19%
70%+
12%
75%+
6%
$111,004 Vol.
55%+
$28,779 Vol.
86%
60%+
$47,634 Vol.
34%
65%+
$28,321 Vol.
19%
70%+
$4,458 Vol.
12%
75%+
$1,813 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s recent September 2026 launches of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 have driven the highest reported HLE scores, reaching 59–65% depending on tool use and evaluation protocol, ahead of prior Opus 5 and competing models from OpenAI and Google. These releases build on iterative gains in reasoning depth and knowledge integration across the 2,500-question expert benchmark, where Anthropic variants have held the top spots for months due to targeted advances in math, science, and multi-domain problem-solving. Traders see limited near-term disruption from rivals, though additional Claude updates or benchmark protocol shifts before year-end could still alter the final peak.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
Volume
$111,004Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s recent September 2026 launches of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 have driven the highest reported HLE scores, reaching 59–65% depending on tool use and evaluation protocol, ahead of prior Opus 5 and competing models from OpenAI and Google. These releases build on iterative gains in reasoning depth and knowledge integration across the 2,500-question expert benchmark, where Anthropic variants have held the top spots for months due to targeted advances in math, science, and multi-domain problem-solving. Traders see limited near-term disruption from rivals, though additional Claude updates or benchmark protocol shifts before year-end could still alter the final peak.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$111,004Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s recent September 2026 launches of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 have driven the highest reported HLE scores, reaching 59–65% depending on tool use and evaluation protocol, ahead of prior Opus 5 and competing models from OpenAI and Google. These releases build on iterative gains in reasoning depth and knowledge integration across the 2,500-question expert benchmark, where Anthropic variants have held the top spots for months due to targeted advances in math, science, and multi-domain problem-solving. Traders see limited near-term disruption from rivals, though additional Claude updates or benchmark protocol shifts before year-end could still alter the final peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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