Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 63.5% probability of more tech layoffs in 2026 than 2025, driven by accelerating year-to-date cuts exceeding 100,000–137,000 jobs across 250–300 events per trackers like Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp—already surpassing early 2025 pace by 30–50%. Recent catalysts include May announcements from LinkedIn (5% staff reduction), Cloudflare (1,100+ jobs), Coinbase, PayPal, and Cisco, amid Meta's planned 8,000 cuts, as firms redirect billions in capex toward AI infrastructure and automation. March and April marked the worst months since 2024, with AI cited in nearly half of Q1's 81,000+ eliminations. Upcoming earnings calls from Big Tech could signal further restructuring, though economic softening might temper the pace.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiUp
$25,123 Vol.
$25,123 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
Up
$25,123 Vol.
$25,123 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 63.5% probability of more tech layoffs in 2026 than 2025, driven by accelerating year-to-date cuts exceeding 100,000–137,000 jobs across 250–300 events per trackers like Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp—already surpassing early 2025 pace by 30–50%. Recent catalysts include May announcements from LinkedIn (5% staff reduction), Cloudflare (1,100+ jobs), Coinbase, PayPal, and Cisco, amid Meta's planned 8,000 cuts, as firms redirect billions in capex toward AI infrastructure and automation. March and April marked the worst months since 2024, with AI cited in nearly half of Q1's 81,000+ eliminations. Upcoming earnings calls from Big Tech could signal further restructuring, though economic softening might temper the pace.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volume
$25,123Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 28, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 63.5% probability of more tech layoffs in 2026 than 2025, driven by accelerating year-to-date cuts exceeding 100,000–137,000 jobs across 250–300 events per trackers like Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp—already surpassing early 2025 pace by 30–50%. Recent catalysts include May announcements from LinkedIn (5% staff reduction), Cloudflare (1,100+ jobs), Coinbase, PayPal, and Cisco, amid Meta's planned 8,000 cuts, as firms redirect billions in capex toward AI infrastructure and automation. March and April marked the worst months since 2024, with AI cited in nearly half of Q1's 81,000+ eliminations. Upcoming earnings calls from Big Tech could signal further restructuring, though economic softening might temper the pace.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$25,123Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 28, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 63.5% probability of more tech layoffs in 2026 than 2025, driven by accelerating year-to-date cuts exceeding 100,000–137,000 jobs across 250–300 events per trackers like Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp—already surpassing early 2025 pace by 30–50%. Recent catalysts include May announcements from LinkedIn (5% staff reduction), Cloudflare (1,100+ jobs), Coinbase, PayPal, and Cisco, amid Meta's planned 8,000 cuts, as firms redirect billions in capex toward AI infrastructure and automation. March and April marked the worst months since 2024, with AI cited in nearly half of Q1's 81,000+ eliminations. Upcoming earnings calls from Big Tech could signal further restructuring, though economic softening might temper the pace.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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