Recent polling averages have clustered near 38.5 percent amid sustained public discontent with the administration’s conduct of the Iran conflict and rising economic concerns. Multiple surveys released in early May showed approval holding in the mid-to-high 30s, with disapproval reaching record levels for the second term as independents and some Republicans expressed frustration over inflation and war goals. The market’s heavy concentration on the 38.5–38.9 range captures this narrow band of recent data points and limited volatility heading into mid-May. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or major economic indicator could still shift results, though such moves would need to overcome entrenched sentiment evident in late-April and early-May readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTrump approval rating on May 15?
Trump approval rating on May 15?
38.5–38.9 99.4%
38.0–38.4 <1%
39.0–39.4 <1%
<38.0 <1%
$24,785 Vol.
$24,785 Vol.
May 15, 2026
<38.0
<1%
38.0–38.4
1%
38.5–38.9
99%
39.0–39.4
<1%
39.5–39.9
<1%
40.0+
<1%
38.5–38.9 99.4%
38.0–38.4 <1%
39.0–39.4 <1%
<38.0 <1%
$24,785 Vol.
$24,785 Vol.
May 15, 2026
<38.0
$3,726 Vol.
<1%
38.0–38.4
$4,630 Vol.
1%
38.5–38.9
$7,260 Vol.
99%
39.0–39.4
$4,622 Vol.
<1%
39.5–39.9
$2,651 Vol.
<1%
40.0+
$1,897 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages have clustered near 38.5 percent amid sustained public discontent with the administration’s conduct of the Iran conflict and rising economic concerns. Multiple surveys released in early May showed approval holding in the mid-to-high 30s, with disapproval reaching record levels for the second term as independents and some Republicans expressed frustration over inflation and war goals. The market’s heavy concentration on the 38.5–38.9 range captures this narrow band of recent data points and limited volatility heading into mid-May. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or major economic indicator could still shift results, though such moves would need to overcome entrenched sentiment evident in late-April and early-May readings.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Pasar Dibuka: May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Volume
$24,785Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages have clustered near 38.5 percent amid sustained public discontent with the administration’s conduct of the Iran conflict and rising economic concerns. Multiple surveys released in early May showed approval holding in the mid-to-high 30s, with disapproval reaching record levels for the second term as independents and some Republicans expressed frustration over inflation and war goals. The market’s heavy concentration on the 38.5–38.9 range captures this narrow band of recent data points and limited volatility heading into mid-May. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or major economic indicator could still shift results, though such moves would need to overcome entrenched sentiment evident in late-April and early-May readings.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$24,785Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages have clustered near 38.5 percent amid sustained public discontent with the administration’s conduct of the Iran conflict and rising economic concerns. Multiple surveys released in early May showed approval holding in the mid-to-high 30s, with disapproval reaching record levels for the second term as independents and some Republicans expressed frustration over inflation and war goals. The market’s heavy concentration on the 38.5–38.9 range captures this narrow band of recent data points and limited volatility heading into mid-May. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or major economic indicator could still shift results, though such moves would need to overcome entrenched sentiment evident in late-April and early-May readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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