Recent polls place President Trump's job approval near the lowest levels of his second term, with averages around 36-38% amid public dissatisfaction over the ongoing conflict with Iran and persistent inflation pressures. Economic concerns, including rising gas and food prices, have weighed heavily even among Republicans, while the administration's handling of foreign policy remains a key drag. With the November 2026 midterm elections approaching, any sustained improvement in these areas or positive diplomatic developments could lift ratings, though historical patterns for second-term presidents show limited recovery once momentum turns negative. Traders are closely watching scheduled congressional votes and economic data releases that could shift sentiment before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
↑ 44%
10%
↑ 45%
9%
↑ 46%
14%
↑ 47%
41%
↑ 48%
4%
↑ 49%
11%
↑ 50%
3%
$4,837 Vol.
↑ 44%
10%
↑ 45%
9%
↑ 46%
14%
↑ 47%
41%
↑ 48%
4%
↑ 49%
11%
↑ 50%
3%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls place President Trump's job approval near the lowest levels of his second term, with averages around 36-38% amid public dissatisfaction over the ongoing conflict with Iran and persistent inflation pressures. Economic concerns, including rising gas and food prices, have weighed heavily even among Republicans, while the administration's handling of foreign policy remains a key drag. With the November 2026 midterm elections approaching, any sustained improvement in these areas or positive diplomatic developments could lift ratings, though historical patterns for second-term presidents show limited recovery once momentum turns negative. Traders are closely watching scheduled congressional votes and economic data releases that could shift sentiment before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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