Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through 2025 and into August 2026, recently reaching lows near 33-36 percent approve amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that escalated with renewed strikes in mid-July. Public dissatisfaction centers on handling of international crises, with only about 30 percent expressing confidence, alongside persistent economic pressures including inflation, rising gas prices, and affordability concerns that have weighed on perceptions of the economy. These factors coincide with the approach of November 2026 midterm elections, where historical patterns show a president’s party often faces headwinds when approval sits below 40 percent. Recent polling averages from sources like Economist/YouGov and others reflect this trajectory, though outcomes remain sensitive to any de-escalation in foreign policy or shifts in domestic economic indicators before year-end.