President Trump's approval rating has dipped to a second-term low of around 35-40% in recent Silver Bulletin and Reuters/Ipsos polling averages as of mid-May 2026, reflecting trader consensus that the year's trough may test 35% amid economic headwinds. Surging gas prices to four-year highs, driven by the ongoing Iran war that began in March, have fueled inflation concerns and eroded support—even half of Republicans now blame him per recent surveys—while Pew data shows steady declines in personal trait assessments over the past month. With November 2026 midterms looming, historical precedents of presidential midterm losses tied to sub-45% approval heighten risks of further erosion from legislative gridlock or foreign policy escalations, though economic rebounds could stabilize sentiment before year-end resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$71,582 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
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$71,582 Vol.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has dipped to a second-term low of around 35-40% in recent Silver Bulletin and Reuters/Ipsos polling averages as of mid-May 2026, reflecting trader consensus that the year's trough may test 35% amid economic headwinds. Surging gas prices to four-year highs, driven by the ongoing Iran war that began in March, have fueled inflation concerns and eroded support—even half of Republicans now blame him per recent surveys—while Pew data shows steady declines in personal trait assessments over the past month. With November 2026 midterms looming, historical precedents of presidential midterm losses tied to sub-45% approval heighten risks of further erosion from legislative gridlock or foreign policy escalations, though economic rebounds could stabilize sentiment before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$71,582Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has dipped to a second-term low of around 35-40% in recent Silver Bulletin and Reuters/Ipsos polling averages as of mid-May 2026, reflecting trader consensus that the year's trough may test 35% amid economic headwinds. Surging gas prices to four-year highs, driven by the ongoing Iran war that began in March, have fueled inflation concerns and eroded support—even half of Republicans now blame him per recent surveys—while Pew data shows steady declines in personal trait assessments over the past month. With November 2026 midterms looming, historical precedents of presidential midterm losses tied to sub-45% approval heighten risks of further erosion from legislative gridlock or foreign policy escalations, though economic rebounds could stabilize sentiment before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$71,582Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval rating has dipped to a second-term low of around 35-40% in recent Silver Bulletin and Reuters/Ipsos polling averages as of mid-May 2026, reflecting trader consensus that the year's trough may test 35% amid economic headwinds. Surging gas prices to four-year highs, driven by the ongoing Iran war that began in March, have fueled inflation concerns and eroded support—even half of Republicans now blame him per recent surveys—while Pew data shows steady declines in personal trait assessments over the past month. With November 2026 midterms looming, historical precedents of presidential midterm losses tied to sub-45% approval heighten risks of further erosion from legislative gridlock or foreign policy escalations, though economic rebounds could stabilize sentiment before year-end resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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