Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 35% to 39% and net ratings near historic second-term lows. Steady erosion since the start of the term, particularly on economic management and inflation, has anchored trader expectations for the August 14 reading. Limited days remain before the snapshot date, few scheduled high-impact events are imminent, and day-to-day fluctuations in existing data keep the 37.5–38.4 range tightly contested. Fresh polls, major economic releases, or sudden diplomatic or legislative developments could shift the distribution before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui38.0–38.4 32%
37.5–37.9 29%
38.5–38.9 24%
39.0+ 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
<37.0
1%
37.0–37.4
8%
37.5–37.9
29%
38.0–38.4
32%
38.5–38.9
24%
39.0+
14%
38.0–38.4 32%
37.5–37.9 29%
38.5–38.9 24%
39.0+ 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
<37.0
$265 Vol.
1%
37.0–37.4
$365 Vol.
8%
37.5–37.9
$295 Vol.
29%
38.0–38.4
$275 Vol.
32%
38.5–38.9
$628 Vol.
24%
39.0+
$614 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 35% to 39% and net ratings near historic second-term lows. Steady erosion since the start of the term, particularly on economic management and inflation, has anchored trader expectations for the August 14 reading. Limited days remain before the snapshot date, few scheduled high-impact events are imminent, and day-to-day fluctuations in existing data keep the 37.5–38.4 range tightly contested. Fresh polls, major economic releases, or sudden diplomatic or legislative developments could shift the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$2,443Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 35% to 39% and net ratings near historic second-term lows. Steady erosion since the start of the term, particularly on economic management and inflation, has anchored trader expectations for the August 14 reading. Limited days remain before the snapshot date, few scheduled high-impact events are imminent, and day-to-day fluctuations in existing data keep the 37.5–38.4 range tightly contested. Fresh polls, major economic releases, or sudden diplomatic or legislative developments could shift the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$2,443Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 35% to 39% and net ratings near historic second-term lows. Steady erosion since the start of the term, particularly on economic management and inflation, has anchored trader expectations for the August 14 reading. Limited days remain before the snapshot date, few scheduled high-impact events are imminent, and day-to-day fluctuations in existing data keep the 37.5–38.4 range tightly contested. Fresh polls, major economic releases, or sudden diplomatic or legislative developments could shift the distribution before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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