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Politik·Primer

TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner

Colin Allred 79%

Julie Johnson 16%

Carlos Quintanilla <1%

Zeeshan Hafeez <1%

Polymarket

$73,254 Vol.

Colin Allred 79%

Julie Johnson 16%

Carlos Quintanilla <1%

Zeeshan Hafeez <1%

Polymarket

$73,254 Vol.

Colin Allred

$33,395 Vol.

79%

Julie Johnson

$30,763 Vol.

16%

Carlos Quintanilla

$4,013 Vol.

<1%

Zeeshan Hafeez

$5,083 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred holds a commanding 78.5% implied probability among traders for the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff on May 26, driven by his 45.5% first-round win on March 3—11 points ahead of incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson’s 34%—bolstered by superior fundraising ($6.4 million raised vs. Johnson’s $2.1 million) and statewide name recognition from two U.S. Senate campaigns. Recent attacks highlight immigration divides, with Allred criticizing Johnson’s Palantir investments linked to ICE enforcement amid her anti-ICE stance. Endorsements split locally for Allred (Rep. Jasmine Crockett, unions) and institutionally for Johnson (Hakeem Jeffries, EMILYs List), in a redrawn Dallas County district (55% Hispanic) rated Solid Democratic overall. Quintanilla and Hafeez trail at 0.1% after weak March showings.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$73,254
Tanggal Berakhir
May 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred holds a commanding 78.5% implied probability among traders for the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff on May 26, driven by his 45.5% first-round win on March 3—11 points ahead of incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson’s 34%—bolstered by superior fundraising ($6.4 million raised vs. Johnson’s $2.1 million) and statewide name recognition from two U.S. Senate campaigns. Recent attacks highlight immigration divides, with Allred criticizing Johnson’s Palantir investments linked to ICE enforcement amid her anti-ICE stance. Endorsements split locally for Allred (Rep. Jasmine Crockett, unions) and institutionally for Johnson (Hakeem Jeffries, EMILYs List), in a redrawn Dallas County district (55% Hispanic) rated Solid Democratic overall. Quintanilla and Hafeez trail at 0.1% after weak March showings.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$73,254
Tanggal Berakhir
May 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Colin Allred" di 79%, diikuti oleh "Julie Johnson" di 16%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 79¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 79% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $73.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 4, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Colin Allred" di 79%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 79% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Julie Johnson" di 16%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.