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Teknologi·Jony Ive

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

icon for What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Teknologi·Jony Ive

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$258,371 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$258,371 Vol.

Polymarket

Earbuds/Headphones

$99,775 Vol.

31%

Glasses

$45,067 Vol.

28%

Phone

$28,179 Vol.

21%

Clip-on device for clothing

$24,712 Vol.

16%

Watch

$28,425 Vol.

17%

Ring

$2,943 Vol.

16%

Head-mounted display

$2,963 Vol.

14%

Necklace

$15,081 Vol.

14%

Computer (Laptop/Desktop)

$9,824 Vol.

13%

Tablet

$1,400 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.OpenAI's trader consensus reflects its pattern of frequent large language model releases and agentic enhancements, exemplified by the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5—its strongest yet with 2x API revenue growth—and May updates like GPT-5.5 Instant, real-time voice models, workspace agents, and Codex expansions to AWS. These solidify competitive positioning against Anthropic's Claude and Google's Gemini amid surging enterprise demand for coding and biology tools like GPT-Rosalind. Hardware remains a key uncertainty, with January confirmation of a first AI device targeted for H2 2026 reveal, fueled by Jony Ive collaboration rumors and custom chip production plans. Watch DevDay on September 29 for catalysts, as Q2 model benchmarks and supply chain signals could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.

If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Volume
$258,371
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.OpenAI's trader consensus reflects its pattern of frequent large language model releases and agentic enhancements, exemplified by the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5—its strongest yet with 2x API revenue growth—and May updates like GPT-5.5 Instant, real-time voice models, workspace agents, and Codex expansions to AWS. These solidify competitive positioning against Anthropic's Claude and Google's Gemini amid surging enterprise demand for coding and biology tools like GPT-Rosalind. Hardware remains a key uncertainty, with January confirmation of a first AI device targeted for H2 2026 reveal, fueled by Jony Ive collaboration rumors and custom chip production plans. Watch DevDay on September 29 for catalysts, as Q2 model benchmarks and supply chain signals could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.

If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Volume
$258,371
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Earbuds/Headphones" di 31%, diikuti oleh "Glasses" di 28%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 31¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 31% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $258.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 30, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?" adalah "Earbuds/Headphones" di 31%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 31% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Glasses" di 28%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.