Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Other (incl $SPCX)" at 59% implied probability for SpaceX's public ticker, driven by Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas' early April report that Elon Musk acquired the SPCX symbol after Tuttle Capital changed its SPAC ETF ticker from SPCX to SPCKβclearing the path amid SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 targeting a June IPO at over $1.75 trillion valuation. $X trails at 32%, buoyed by Musk's branding affinity seen in X (formerly Twitter) but tempered by availability concerns and prior odds drops from 72% in February. Quirky options like $SEX (5%) reflect Musk's humorous style, while low-probability picks like $SPAX hinge on SPAC merger speculation. Public S-1 expected imminently around May 15 could confirm details, amid regulatory scrutiny of Musk's voting control.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· DiperbaruiLainnya (termasuk $SPCX)Β 58.9%
$XΒ 32%
$SEXΒ 4.8%
$SPAXΒ 2.8%
$5,738,288 Vol.
$5,738,288 Vol.
Lainnya (termasuk $SPCX)
59%
$X
32%
$SEX
5%
$SPAX
3%
$SPACE
1%
$SX
1%
$MARS
1%
$STAR
<1%
$SPC
<1%
Lainnya (termasuk $SPCX)Β 58.9%
$XΒ 32%
$SEXΒ 4.8%
$SPAXΒ 2.8%
$5,738,288 Vol.
$5,738,288 Vol.
Lainnya (termasuk $SPCX)
59%
$X
32%
$SEX
5%
$SPAX
3%
$SPACE
1%
$SX
1%
$MARS
1%
$STAR
<1%
$SPC
<1%
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceXβs first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to βOther.β
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchangeβs official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceXβs first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceXβs first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to βOther.β
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchangeβs official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceXβs first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Other (incl $SPCX)" at 59% implied probability for SpaceX's public ticker, driven by Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas' early April report that Elon Musk acquired the SPCX symbol after Tuttle Capital changed its SPAC ETF ticker from SPCX to SPCKβclearing the path amid SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 targeting a June IPO at over $1.75 trillion valuation. $X trails at 32%, buoyed by Musk's branding affinity seen in X (formerly Twitter) but tempered by availability concerns and prior odds drops from 72% in February. Quirky options like $SEX (5%) reflect Musk's humorous style, while low-probability picks like $SPAX hinge on SPAC merger speculation. Public S-1 expected imminently around May 15 could confirm details, amid regulatory scrutiny of Musk's voting control.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· Diperbarui
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