Recent Zillow Home Value Index data places Chicago metro typical home values at approximately $338,000 as of late July 2026, reflecting 4.5% year-over-year appreciation amid persistently low inventory levels that continue to support upward pressure on prices. With mortgage rates holding near 6.3% and limited new supply constraining transaction volumes, trader consensus has clustered around the $335,000–$345,000 range, where the two leading brackets account for over 62% of market-implied probability. Key differentiating factors include potential seasonal softening into early fall versus resilience from local employment trends and modest national price growth forecasts of 1–2% for 2026; any near-term shifts in Fed policy expectations or inventory releases could tilt outcomes between these tightly contested bands.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$335K - $340K 35%
$340K - $345K 28%
$330K - $335K 16.3%
$345K+ 15%
$81,509 Vol.
$81,509 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$320K
1%
$320K - $325K
1%
$325K - $330K
9%
$330K - $335K
16%
$335K - $340K
35%
$340K - $345K
28%
$345K+
15%
$335K - $340K 35%
$340K - $345K 28%
$330K - $335K 16.3%
$345K+ 15%
$81,509 Vol.
$81,509 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$320K
$2,395 Vol.
1%
$320K - $325K
$2,282 Vol.
1%
$325K - $330K
$2,932 Vol.
9%
$330K - $335K
$7,380 Vol.
16%
$335K - $340K
$15,963 Vol.
35%
$340K - $345K
$19,904 Vol.
28%
$345K+
$30,653 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)Recent Zillow Home Value Index data places Chicago metro typical home values at approximately $338,000 as of late July 2026, reflecting 4.5% year-over-year appreciation amid persistently low inventory levels that continue to support upward pressure on prices. With mortgage rates holding near 6.3% and limited new supply constraining transaction volumes, trader consensus has clustered around the $335,000–$345,000 range, where the two leading brackets account for over 62% of market-implied probability. Key differentiating factors include potential seasonal softening into early fall versus resilience from local employment trends and modest national price growth forecasts of 1–2% for 2026; any near-term shifts in Fed policy expectations or inventory releases could tilt outcomes between these tightly contested bands.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$81,509Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)Recent Zillow Home Value Index data places Chicago metro typical home values at approximately $338,000 as of late July 2026, reflecting 4.5% year-over-year appreciation amid persistently low inventory levels that continue to support upward pressure on prices. With mortgage rates holding near 6.3% and limited new supply constraining transaction volumes, trader consensus has clustered around the $335,000–$345,000 range, where the two leading brackets account for over 62% of market-implied probability. Key differentiating factors include potential seasonal softening into early fall versus resilience from local employment trends and modest national price growth forecasts of 1–2% for 2026; any near-term shifts in Fed policy expectations or inventory releases could tilt outcomes between these tightly contested bands.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Volume
$81,509Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Zillow Home Value Index data places Chicago metro typical home values at approximately $338,000 as of late July 2026, reflecting 4.5% year-over-year appreciation amid persistently low inventory levels that continue to support upward pressure on prices. With mortgage rates holding near 6.3% and limited new supply constraining transaction volumes, trader consensus has clustered around the $335,000–$345,000 range, where the two leading brackets account for over 62% of market-implied probability. Key differentiating factors include potential seasonal softening into early fall versus resilience from local employment trends and modest national price growth forecasts of 1–2% for 2026; any near-term shifts in Fed policy expectations or inventory releases could tilt outcomes between these tightly contested bands.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan