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Ekonomi·Real Estate

What will the median home value in the Austin, Texas Metro area be on June 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the Austin, Texas Metro area be on June 30?
Ekonomi·Real Estate

What will the median home value in the Austin, Texas Metro area be on June 30?

>$495k 37%

<$481k 31%

$481k - $484k 10%

$493k - $495k 10%

Polymarket
BARU

>$495k 37%

<$481k 31%

$481k - $484k 10%

$493k - $495k 10%

Polymarket
BARU

$481k - $484k

$139 Vol.

15%

$484k - $487k

$173 Vol.

13%

$493k - $495k

$149 Vol.

16%

$490k - $493k

$123 Vol.

14%

>$495k

$400 Vol.

37%

$487k - $490k

$144 Vol.

18%

<$481k

$398 Vol.

30%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Elevated mortgage rates near 6-7% continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability in the Austin metro, while elevated inventory from pandemic-era construction and moderating in-migration sustain downward pressure on values. Recent data through May 2026 show median sale prices ranging from roughly $440,000 to $542,000 depending on the metric, with year-over-year declines of 1-6% across sources like Redfin and Zillow amid longer days on market and increased price reductions. These conditions underpin the 49% market-implied probability on outcomes below $481k as of mid-June, with traders pricing in limited upside before the June 30 resolution absent near-term rate relief or demand surges.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
Volume
$1,528
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Elevated mortgage rates near 6-7% continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability in the Austin metro, while elevated inventory from pandemic-era construction and moderating in-migration sustain downward pressure on values. Recent data through May 2026 show median sale prices ranging from roughly $440,000 to $542,000 depending on the metric, with year-over-year declines of 1-6% across sources like Redfin and Zillow amid longer days on market and increased price reductions. These conditions underpin the 49% market-implied probability on outcomes below $481k as of mid-June, with traders pricing in limited upside before the June 30 resolution absent near-term rate relief or demand surges.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
Volume
$1,528
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"What will the median home value in the Austin, Texas Metro area be on June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah ">$495k" di 37%, diikuti oleh "<$481k" di 30%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 37¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 37% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"What will the median home value in the Austin, Texas Metro area be on June 30?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 2, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "What will the median home value in the Austin, Texas Metro area be on June 30?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "What will the median home value in the Austin, Texas Metro area be on June 30?" adalah ">$495k" di 37%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 37% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "<$481k" di 30%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "What will the median home value in the Austin, Texas Metro area be on June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.