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Ekonomi·Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?

icon for What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?
Ekonomi·Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?

$342k - $345k 20%

$339k - $342k 16%

<$339k 12%

>$354k 11%

Polymarket
BARU

$342k - $345k 20%

$339k - $342k 16%

<$339k 12%

>$354k 11%

Polymarket
BARU

<$339k

$77 Vol.

12%

$339k - $342k

$51 Vol.

16%

$342k - $345k

$258 Vol.

20%

$345k - $348k

$173 Vol.

9%

$348k - $351k

$188 Vol.

9%

$351k - $354k

$46 Vol.

7%

>$354k

$185 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Trader consensus in this closely contested Chicago median home value market clusters around the $339k–$345k range, reflecting modest near-term appreciation amid low inventory and steady demand. Persistent supply constraints, with active listings down year-over-year, continue to support prices despite mortgage rates near 6%, while recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326k and Redfin median sale prices around $420k highlight methodological differences that inject uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution. Seasonal summer activity and any final May–June transaction data could shift implied probabilities across the narrow bins, underscoring how real-capital positioning aggregates views on housing fundamentals without guaranteeing outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Volume
$978
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Trader consensus in this closely contested Chicago median home value market clusters around the $339k–$345k range, reflecting modest near-term appreciation amid low inventory and steady demand. Persistent supply constraints, with active listings down year-over-year, continue to support prices despite mortgage rates near 6%, while recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326k and Redfin median sale prices around $420k highlight methodological differences that inject uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution. Seasonal summer activity and any final May–June transaction data could shift implied probabilities across the narrow bins, underscoring how real-capital positioning aggregates views on housing fundamentals without guaranteeing outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Volume
$978
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "$342k - $345k" di 20%, diikuti oleh "$339k - $342k" di 17%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 20¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 20% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 3, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?" adalah "$342k - $345k" di 20%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 20% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "$339k - $342k" di 17%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.