Polymarket traders assign a 69.5% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the June Copom meeting, reflecting consensus on延续 the Banco Central do Brasil's easing cycle after unanimous 25-basis-point cuts in March (to 14.75%) and April (to 14.50%), despite April IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.39% year-over-year—still within the 3% ±1.5% tolerance band. Copom minutes emphasized a data-dependent stance amid geopolitical risks elevating oil prices and Focus survey 2026 inflation expectations at 4.91%, supporting no-change odds at 27.3% while pricing hikes at just 1.4%. Pivotal catalysts include the impending May IPCA release and weekly Focus updates on Selic path versus end-2026 forecasts near 13%.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBank of Brazil Decision in June?
Bank of Brazil Decision in June?
Decrease 72%
No Change 27.4%
Increase 1.0%
$123,539 Vol.
$123,539 Vol.
Increase
1%
No Change
27%
Decrease
72%
Decrease 72%
No Change 27.4%
Increase 1.0%
$123,539 Vol.
$123,539 Vol.
Increase
1%
No Change
27%
Decrease
72%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign a 69.5% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the June Copom meeting, reflecting consensus on延续 the Banco Central do Brasil's easing cycle after unanimous 25-basis-point cuts in March (to 14.75%) and April (to 14.50%), despite April IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.39% year-over-year—still within the 3% ±1.5% tolerance band. Copom minutes emphasized a data-dependent stance amid geopolitical risks elevating oil prices and Focus survey 2026 inflation expectations at 4.91%, supporting no-change odds at 27.3% while pricing hikes at just 1.4%. Pivotal catalysts include the impending May IPCA release and weekly Focus updates on Selic path versus end-2026 forecasts near 13%.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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